Forecast models from NOAA and private sources indicate Seattle will reach a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s on June 14 amid the season’s first notable heat wave, driven by a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and enhanced solar heating with light northerly winds limiting marine influence. Latest guidance clusters around 84–87°F at Sea-Tac, consistent with historical late-spring peaks but elevated relative to June normals near 74°F. Trader positioning favoring 88–89°F reflects uncertainty in afternoon mixing and potential model underestimation of downslope warming from the Cascades, while lower bins remain discounted absent significant onshore flow or cloud cover. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria based on official KSEA observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seattle on June 14?
Highest temperature in Seattle on June 14?
88-89°F 50%
86-87°F 35%
90-91°F 5.1%
84-85°F 2.6%
$16,650 Vol.
$16,650 Vol.
14 juin 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
35%
88-89°F
50%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 50%
86-87°F 35%
90-91°F 5.1%
84-85°F 2.6%
$16,650 Vol.
$16,650 Vol.
14 juin 2026
77°F or below
$1,685 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,639 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,083 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,689 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$2,454 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$869 Vol.
35%
88-89°F
$1,582 Vol.
50%
90-91°F
$2,534 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$1,320 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$399 Vol.
<1%
96°F or higher
$709 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and private sources indicate Seattle will reach a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s on June 14 amid the season’s first notable heat wave, driven by a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and enhanced solar heating with light northerly winds limiting marine influence. Latest guidance clusters around 84–87°F at Sea-Tac, consistent with historical late-spring peaks but elevated relative to June normals near 74°F. Trader positioning favoring 88–89°F reflects uncertainty in afternoon mixing and potential model underestimation of downslope warming from the Cascades, while lower bins remain discounted absent significant onshore flow or cloud cover. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria based on official KSEA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$16,650Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and private sources indicate Seattle will reach a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s on June 14 amid the season’s first notable heat wave, driven by a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and enhanced solar heating with light northerly winds limiting marine influence. Latest guidance clusters around 84–87°F at Sea-Tac, consistent with historical late-spring peaks but elevated relative to June normals near 74°F. Trader positioning favoring 88–89°F reflects uncertainty in afternoon mixing and potential model underestimation of downslope warming from the Cascades, while lower bins remain discounted absent significant onshore flow or cloud cover. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria based on official KSEA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,650Date de fin
14 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and private sources indicate Seattle will reach a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s on June 14 amid the season’s first notable heat wave, driven by a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and enhanced solar heating with light northerly winds limiting marine influence. Latest guidance clusters around 84–87°F at Sea-Tac, consistent with historical late-spring peaks but elevated relative to June normals near 74°F. Trader positioning favoring 88–89°F reflects uncertainty in afternoon mixing and potential model underestimation of downslope warming from the Cascades, while lower bins remain discounted absent significant onshore flow or cloud cover. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria based on official KSEA observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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