Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature in central NYC on June 16 near 60–63 °F, with the spread across GFS and ECMWF runs producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those bins. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will favor radiational cooling, while light westerly flow and dew points in the mid-50s limit further drops; any increase in cloud cover or a subtle moisture surge could hold the low a degree or two higher. Historical June climatology for Central Park shows average overnight minima near 62 °F, providing context for why traders see limited downside risk below 58 °F. Fresh model cycles tonight and tomorrow morning will narrow the uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 16 juin ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 16 juin ?
60-61°F 28%
62-63°F 24%
58-59°F 20%
56-57 °F 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
49°F ou moins
<1%
50-51°F
3%
52-53°F
2%
54-55 °F
4%
56-57 °F
19%
58-59°F
20%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
19%
68°F ou plus
5%
60-61°F 28%
62-63°F 24%
58-59°F 20%
56-57 °F 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
49°F ou moins
$33 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$120 Vol.
3%
52-53°F
$58 Vol.
2%
54-55 °F
$176 Vol.
4%
56-57 °F
$0 Vol.
19%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
20%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
28%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
24%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
8%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
19%
68°F ou plus
$281 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature in central NYC on June 16 near 60–63 °F, with the spread across GFS and ECMWF runs producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those bins. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will favor radiational cooling, while light westerly flow and dew points in the mid-50s limit further drops; any increase in cloud cover or a subtle moisture surge could hold the low a degree or two higher. Historical June climatology for Central Park shows average overnight minima near 62 °F, providing context for why traders see limited downside risk below 58 °F. Fresh model cycles tonight and tomorrow morning will narrow the uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volume
$669Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 9:31 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature in central NYC on June 16 near 60–63 °F, with the spread across GFS and ECMWF runs producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those bins. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will favor radiational cooling, while light westerly flow and dew points in the mid-50s limit further drops; any increase in cloud cover or a subtle moisture surge could hold the low a degree or two higher. Historical June climatology for Central Park shows average overnight minima near 62 °F, providing context for why traders see limited downside risk below 58 °F. Fresh model cycles tonight and tomorrow morning will narrow the uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$669Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 9:31 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature in central NYC on June 16 near 60–63 °F, with the spread across GFS and ECMWF runs producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those bins. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will favor radiational cooling, while light westerly flow and dew points in the mid-50s limit further drops; any increase in cloud cover or a subtle moisture surge could hold the low a degree or two higher. Historical June climatology for Central Park shows average overnight minima near 62 °F, providing context for why traders see limited downside risk below 58 °F. Fresh model cycles tonight and tomorrow morning will narrow the uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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