Recent weather model consensus and observational trends point to a mild overnight period in New York City on June 14, 2026, with minimum temperatures most likely holding in the low-to-mid 70s °F. This positioning stems from a persistent warm air mass and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies or light southerly flow, preventing the typical June nocturnal drop toward the mid-60s. Hourly guidance from sources such as globalmeteo shows temperatures falling only to around 70 °F near dawn before rebounding, while broader AccuWeather and climate-data outlooks place mid-month overnight lows between 62 °F and 73 °F amid above-average warmth for the month. Earlier June heat episodes and the absence of strong cold fronts or clear, dry conditions have kept surface temperatures elevated, aligning trader-implied probabilities with ensemble forecasts that favor 70–77 °F minima over cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and real-time observations from National Weather Service stations will refine these estimates as the night progresses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 14 juin ?
74-75°F 38%
70-71 °F 33%
68-69 °F 24%
72-73°F 14%
63°F ou moins
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69 °F
24%
70-71 °F
25%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
1%
80-81 °F
<1%
82°F ou plus
<1%
74-75°F 38%
70-71 °F 33%
68-69 °F 24%
72-73°F 14%
63°F ou moins
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69 °F
24%
70-71 °F
25%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
1%
80-81 °F
<1%
82°F ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus and observational trends point to a mild overnight period in New York City on June 14, 2026, with minimum temperatures most likely holding in the low-to-mid 70s °F. This positioning stems from a persistent warm air mass and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies or light southerly flow, preventing the typical June nocturnal drop toward the mid-60s. Hourly guidance from sources such as globalmeteo shows temperatures falling only to around 70 °F near dawn before rebounding, while broader AccuWeather and climate-data outlooks place mid-month overnight lows between 62 °F and 73 °F amid above-average warmth for the month. Earlier June heat episodes and the absence of strong cold fronts or clear, dry conditions have kept surface temperatures elevated, aligning trader-implied probabilities with ensemble forecasts that favor 70–77 °F minima over cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and real-time observations from National Weather Service stations will refine these estimates as the night progresses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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