Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (49.5%) to a daily maximum of 92-93°F in Miami on June 16, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast models that project a continuation of above-average warmth under weak steering flow and minimal cloud cover. Recent runs from the GFS and ECMWF ensembles show afternoon highs stabilizing near this threshold after accounting for typical urban heat-island amplification and Atlantic sea-breeze timing. Historical June climatology places Miami’s average daily maximum around 89°F, providing context for the market’s modest upward bias, while uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture keeps secondary bins (90-91°F at 26.0%) viable. Updated model guidance and local observations are scheduled for release overnight, offering the next catalyst for position adjustments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Miami le 16 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Miami le 16 juin ?
92-93°F 50%
90-91°F 32%
88-89°F 11%
94-95°F 6.2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
50%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 50%
90-91°F 32%
88-89°F 11%
94-95°F 6.2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 juin 2026
81°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$30 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$197 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$110 Vol.
11%
90-91°F
$174 Vol.
32%
92-93°F
$99 Vol.
50%
94-95°F
$35 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$64 Vol.
1%
100°F or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (49.5%) to a daily maximum of 92-93°F in Miami on June 16, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast models that project a continuation of above-average warmth under weak steering flow and minimal cloud cover. Recent runs from the GFS and ECMWF ensembles show afternoon highs stabilizing near this threshold after accounting for typical urban heat-island amplification and Atlantic sea-breeze timing. Historical June climatology places Miami’s average daily maximum around 89°F, providing context for the market’s modest upward bias, while uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture keeps secondary bins (90-91°F at 26.0%) viable. Updated model guidance and local observations are scheduled for release overnight, offering the next catalyst for position adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$532Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (49.5%) to a daily maximum of 92-93°F in Miami on June 16, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast models that project a continuation of above-average warmth under weak steering flow and minimal cloud cover. Recent runs from the GFS and ECMWF ensembles show afternoon highs stabilizing near this threshold after accounting for typical urban heat-island amplification and Atlantic sea-breeze timing. Historical June climatology places Miami’s average daily maximum around 89°F, providing context for the market’s modest upward bias, while uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture keeps secondary bins (90-91°F at 26.0%) viable. Updated model guidance and local observations are scheduled for release overnight, offering the next catalyst for position adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$532Date de fin
16 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (49.5%) to a daily maximum of 92-93°F in Miami on June 16, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast models that project a continuation of above-average warmth under weak steering flow and minimal cloud cover. Recent runs from the GFS and ECMWF ensembles show afternoon highs stabilizing near this threshold after accounting for typical urban heat-island amplification and Atlantic sea-breeze timing. Historical June climatology places Miami’s average daily maximum around 89°F, providing context for the market’s modest upward bias, while uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture keeps secondary bins (90-91°F at 26.0%) viable. Updated model guidance and local observations are scheduled for release overnight, offering the next catalyst for position adjustments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes