Persistent southwest monsoon activity has driven cloud cover, frequent showers, and suppressed solar heating across Metro Manila, holding the day's maximum temperature near 28°C according to PAGASA and NOAA-aligned forecasts. This pattern aligns with typical wet-season climatology, where enhanced convection and moisture limit afternoon peaks below the 31–32°C August average. Market-implied odds at 100% for 28°C reflect trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus showing minimal deviation. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could allow greater insolation and push readings higher, while stronger convective bursts might cap the high even lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Manille le 14 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Manille le 14 août ?
28°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$59,926 Vol.
$59,926 Vol.
14 août 2026
25°C ou moins
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Oui
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C ou plus
Non
28°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$59,926 Vol.
$59,926 Vol.
14 août 2026
25°C ou moins
$358 Vol.
Non
26°C
$3,267 Vol.
Non
27°C
$23,953 Vol.
Non
28°C
$7,595 Vol.
Oui
29°C
$5,660 Vol.
Non
30°C
$5,206 Vol.
Non
31°C
$5,898 Vol.
Non
32°C
$3,494 Vol.
Non
33°C
$1,497 Vol.
Non
34°C
$1,461 Vol.
Non
35°C ou plus
$1,538 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity has driven cloud cover, frequent showers, and suppressed solar heating across Metro Manila, holding the day's maximum temperature near 28°C according to PAGASA and NOAA-aligned forecasts. This pattern aligns with typical wet-season climatology, where enhanced convection and moisture limit afternoon peaks below the 31–32°C August average. Market-implied odds at 100% for 28°C reflect trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus showing minimal deviation. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could allow greater insolation and push readings higher, while stronger convective bursts might cap the high even lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$59,926Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity has driven cloud cover, frequent showers, and suppressed solar heating across Metro Manila, holding the day's maximum temperature near 28°C according to PAGASA and NOAA-aligned forecasts. This pattern aligns with typical wet-season climatology, where enhanced convection and moisture limit afternoon peaks below the 31–32°C August average. Market-implied odds at 100% for 28°C reflect trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus showing minimal deviation. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could allow greater insolation and push readings higher, while stronger convective bursts might cap the high even lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$59,926Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Persistent southwest monsoon activity has driven cloud cover, frequent showers, and suppressed solar heating across Metro Manila, holding the day's maximum temperature near 28°C according to PAGASA and NOAA-aligned forecasts. This pattern aligns with typical wet-season climatology, where enhanced convection and moisture limit afternoon peaks below the 31–32°C August average. Market-implied odds at 100% for 28°C reflect trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus showing minimal deviation. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could allow greater insolation and push readings higher, while stronger convective bursts might cap the high even lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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