Latest high-resolution forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office converge on a 33–34°C peak for Milan on July 3, driving the near-even 37.5% and 35.5% market shares for those bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the western Mediterranean favors southerly flow that advects warmer air masses northward across the Po Valley, while clear skies and light winds allow strong daytime insolation and limited mixing. Urban heat-island effects in central Milan can add 1–2°C locally compared with rural stations. Minor model spread in 850 hPa temperatures and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage create the tight clustering around 32–34°C; updated runs from Arpa Lombardia or the next ECMWF cycle will likely refine the precise maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on July 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 3?
32°C 47%
33°C 28%
31°C 18%
34°C 10%
NOUVEAU
$16,392 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,392 Vol.
3 juil. 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
18%
32°C
47%
33°C
28%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
33°C 28%
31°C 18%
34°C 10%
NOUVEAU
$16,392 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,392 Vol.
3 juil. 2026
28°C or below
$566 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$783 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,433 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,966 Vol.
18%
32°C
$2,457 Vol.
47%
33°C
$3,891 Vol.
28%
34°C
$2,238 Vol.
10%
35°C
$953 Vol.
1%
36°C
$511 Vol.
1%
37°C
$814 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,026 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office converge on a 33–34°C peak for Milan on July 3, driving the near-even 37.5% and 35.5% market shares for those bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the western Mediterranean favors southerly flow that advects warmer air masses northward across the Po Valley, while clear skies and light winds allow strong daytime insolation and limited mixing. Urban heat-island effects in central Milan can add 1–2°C locally compared with rural stations. Minor model spread in 850 hPa temperatures and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage create the tight clustering around 32–34°C; updated runs from Arpa Lombardia or the next ECMWF cycle will likely refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$16,392Date de fin
3 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office converge on a 33–34°C peak for Milan on July 3, driving the near-even 37.5% and 35.5% market shares for those bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the western Mediterranean favors southerly flow that advects warmer air masses northward across the Po Valley, while clear skies and light winds allow strong daytime insolation and limited mixing. Urban heat-island effects in central Milan can add 1–2°C locally compared with rural stations. Minor model spread in 850 hPa temperatures and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage create the tight clustering around 32–34°C; updated runs from Arpa Lombardia or the next ECMWF cycle will likely refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,392Date de fin
3 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution forecasts from the ECMWF and Met Office converge on a 33–34°C peak for Milan on July 3, driving the near-even 37.5% and 35.5% market shares for those bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the western Mediterranean favors southerly flow that advects warmer air masses northward across the Po Valley, while clear skies and light winds allow strong daytime insolation and limited mixing. Urban heat-island effects in central Milan can add 1–2°C locally compared with rural stations. Minor model spread in 850 hPa temperatures and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage create the tight clustering around 32–34°C; updated runs from Arpa Lombardia or the next ECMWF cycle will likely refine the precise maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes