Current short-term forecasts from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service position 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s July 21 maximum, with 34°C close behind, reflecting trader consensus on persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and clear skies that favor daytime heating above the July climatological average of roughly 30–31°C. Recent observations show elevated temperatures consistent with this pattern, though ensemble spreads and potential for slight onshore breeze or timing shifts introduce modest uncertainty around the precise peak. Official station readings at resolution time will determine the exact value, with updated model runs expected daily until the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 21 juillet ?
33°C 61%
34°C 21%
32°C 15%
31°C 2.8%
$14,878 Vol.
$14,878 Vol.
30°C ou moins
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
15%
33°C
61%
34°C
21%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C ou plus
<1%
33°C 61%
34°C 21%
32°C 15%
31°C 2.8%
$14,878 Vol.
$14,878 Vol.
30°C ou moins
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
15%
33°C
61%
34°C
21%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service position 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s July 21 maximum, with 34°C close behind, reflecting trader consensus on persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and clear skies that favor daytime heating above the July climatological average of roughly 30–31°C. Recent observations show elevated temperatures consistent with this pattern, though ensemble spreads and potential for slight onshore breeze or timing shifts introduce modest uncertainty around the precise peak. Official station readings at resolution time will determine the exact value, with updated model runs expected daily until the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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