Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 7?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 7?
27°C 36%
26°C 31%
28°C 15%
25°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 juil. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
31%
27°C
36%
28°C
15%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 36%
26°C 31%
28°C 15%
25°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 juil. 2026
22°C or below
$476 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$207 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$916 Vol.
2%
25°C
$1,005 Vol.
9%
26°C
$642 Vol.
31%
27°C
$3,662 Vol.
36%
28°C
$628 Vol.
15%
29°C
$451 Vol.
4%
30°C
$166 Vol.
1%
31°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$308 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$8,627Date de fin
7 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,627Date de fin
7 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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