Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, show a northwesterly flow and thundery showers over Warsaw on July 24, which will increase cloud cover and reduce insolation, capping the daily maximum near 21°C. This pattern aligns with the market's tight clustering around 20–22°C, reflecting ensemble spread from minor variations in shower timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical July averages near 24°C provide context, but the current synoptic setup—marked by a passing trough—introduces modest cooling relative to climatology. Traders appear to weigh the latest short-range runs heavily, as resolution hinges on the precise peak recorded at official stations before any evening cooling.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 24 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 24 juillet ?
21°C 41%
20°C 29%
22°C 20%
19°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 juil. 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
7%
20°C
29%
21°C
41%
22°C
20%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
2%
21°C 41%
20°C 29%
22°C 20%
19°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 juil. 2026
14°C or below
$7 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$36 Vol.
3%
18°C
$7 Vol.
5%
19°C
$7 Vol.
7%
20°C
$14 Vol.
29%
21°C
$50 Vol.
41%
22°C
$20 Vol.
20%
23°C
$7 Vol.
5%
24°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, show a northwesterly flow and thundery showers over Warsaw on July 24, which will increase cloud cover and reduce insolation, capping the daily maximum near 21°C. This pattern aligns with the market's tight clustering around 20–22°C, reflecting ensemble spread from minor variations in shower timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical July averages near 24°C provide context, but the current synoptic setup—marked by a passing trough—introduces modest cooling relative to climatology. Traders appear to weigh the latest short-range runs heavily, as resolution hinges on the precise peak recorded at official stations before any evening cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$293Date de fin
24 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, show a northwesterly flow and thundery showers over Warsaw on July 24, which will increase cloud cover and reduce insolation, capping the daily maximum near 21°C. This pattern aligns with the market's tight clustering around 20–22°C, reflecting ensemble spread from minor variations in shower timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical July averages near 24°C provide context, but the current synoptic setup—marked by a passing trough—introduces modest cooling relative to climatology. Traders appear to weigh the latest short-range runs heavily, as resolution hinges on the precise peak recorded at official stations before any evening cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$293Date de fin
24 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, show a northwesterly flow and thundery showers over Warsaw on July 24, which will increase cloud cover and reduce insolation, capping the daily maximum near 21°C. This pattern aligns with the market's tight clustering around 20–22°C, reflecting ensemble spread from minor variations in shower timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical July averages near 24°C provide context, but the current synoptic setup—marked by a passing trough—introduces modest cooling relative to climatology. Traders appear to weigh the latest short-range runs heavily, as resolution hinges on the precise peak recorded at official stations before any evening cooling.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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