Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 9–10°C for Wellington on July 26, driven by southerly airflow advecting cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near- or below-average July temperatures amid established El Niño conditions in the Pacific. Wellington’s winter climatology features average highs of 12°C, but persistent fresh-to-strong winds and potential showers further suppress peaks, positioning 10°C as the market leader while leaving room for 11°C if clearing occurs. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 26 juillet ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 26 juillet ?
10°C 62%
11°C 27%
9°C 12%
8°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 juil. 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
4%
9°C
12%
10°C
62%
11°C
27%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C or higher
2%
10°C 62%
11°C 27%
9°C 12%
8°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 juil. 2026
4°C or below
$200 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$20 Vol.
1%
7°C
$35 Vol.
2%
8°C
$3 Vol.
4%
9°C
$14 Vol.
12%
10°C
$61 Vol.
62%
11°C
$60 Vol.
27%
12°C
$21 Vol.
2%
13°C
$20 Vol.
2%
14°C or higher
$20 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 9–10°C for Wellington on July 26, driven by southerly airflow advecting cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near- or below-average July temperatures amid established El Niño conditions in the Pacific. Wellington’s winter climatology features average highs of 12°C, but persistent fresh-to-strong winds and potential showers further suppress peaks, positioning 10°C as the market leader while leaving room for 11°C if clearing occurs. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$664Date de fin
26 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 9–10°C for Wellington on July 26, driven by southerly airflow advecting cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near- or below-average July temperatures amid established El Niño conditions in the Pacific. Wellington’s winter climatology features average highs of 12°C, but persistent fresh-to-strong winds and potential showers further suppress peaks, positioning 10°C as the market leader while leaving room for 11°C if clearing occurs. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$664Date de fin
26 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 9–10°C for Wellington on July 26, driven by southerly airflow advecting cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near- or below-average July temperatures amid established El Niño conditions in the Pacific. Wellington’s winter climatology features average highs of 12°C, but persistent fresh-to-strong winds and potential showers further suppress peaks, positioning 10°C as the market leader while leaving room for 11°C if clearing occurs. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes