Recent MetService guidance shows a southerly change and associated cloud cover developing over Wellington by July 7, limiting daytime heating after 14°C on July 5 and 12°C on July 6. Model runs indicate maximum temperatures will hinge on the precise timing of the front’s arrival and the strength of northerly flow ahead of it, with official forecasts centering on 13°C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place July temperatures near or slightly below the 12–13°C climatological average, supporting tight market-implied odds between 13°C and 14°C. Minor shifts in wind direction or clearance timing could push the official maximum across that threshold, while persistent low cloud would favor the lower outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on July 7?
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 7?
14°C 45%
13°C 38%
12°C 12.5%
15°C 7.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 juil. 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
13%
13°C
38%
14°C
45%
15°C
7%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 45%
13°C 38%
12°C 12.5%
15°C 7.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 juil. 2026
8°C or below
$662 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$405 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$431 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,663 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$914 Vol.
13%
13°C
$1,557 Vol.
38%
14°C
$1,700 Vol.
45%
15°C
$1,049 Vol.
7%
16°C
$615 Vol.
1%
17°C
$363 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$439 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService guidance shows a southerly change and associated cloud cover developing over Wellington by July 7, limiting daytime heating after 14°C on July 5 and 12°C on July 6. Model runs indicate maximum temperatures will hinge on the precise timing of the front’s arrival and the strength of northerly flow ahead of it, with official forecasts centering on 13°C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place July temperatures near or slightly below the 12–13°C climatological average, supporting tight market-implied odds between 13°C and 14°C. Minor shifts in wind direction or clearance timing could push the official maximum across that threshold, while persistent low cloud would favor the lower outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$9,793Date de fin
7 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService guidance shows a southerly change and associated cloud cover developing over Wellington by July 7, limiting daytime heating after 14°C on July 5 and 12°C on July 6. Model runs indicate maximum temperatures will hinge on the precise timing of the front’s arrival and the strength of northerly flow ahead of it, with official forecasts centering on 13°C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place July temperatures near or slightly below the 12–13°C climatological average, supporting tight market-implied odds between 13°C and 14°C. Minor shifts in wind direction or clearance timing could push the official maximum across that threshold, while persistent low cloud would favor the lower outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,793Date de fin
7 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService guidance shows a southerly change and associated cloud cover developing over Wellington by July 7, limiting daytime heating after 14°C on July 5 and 12°C on July 6. Model runs indicate maximum temperatures will hinge on the precise timing of the front’s arrival and the strength of northerly flow ahead of it, with official forecasts centering on 13°C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place July temperatures near or slightly below the 12–13°C climatological average, supporting tight market-implied odds between 13°C and 14°C. Minor shifts in wind direction or clearance timing could push the official maximum across that threshold, while persistent low cloud would favor the lower outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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