Recent U.S. Treasury market dynamics show the 5-year yield near 4.52% as of September 3, 2026, after climbing sharply from sub-3.7% levels a year earlier amid elevated federal deficits, heavy supply, and inflation remaining above the Fed’s 2% target. Trader positioning reflects concerns that sticky core prices, rising energy costs, and debt issuance will keep medium-term rates elevated even as Fed Governor Waller’s recent comments reduced near-term hike odds ahead of the mid-September FOMC meeting. Labor data releases and upcoming inflation prints will shape whether yields test higher before year-end or stabilize near current levels, with the curve’s steepening bias underscoring term-premium demands over the policy-sensitive front end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuel sera le rendement du Trésor à 5 ans avant 2027 ?
Quel sera le rendement du Trésor à 5 ans avant 2027 ?
NOUVEAU
30 déc. 2026
5,25 %
39%
5,10 %
50%
5,00 %
50%
4,95 %
50%
4,90 %
50%
4,85 %
51%
4,80 %
51%
4,75 %
52%
4,70 %
64%
$0.00 Vol.
5,25 %
$0 Vol.
39%
5,10 %
$0 Vol.
50%
5,00 %
$0 Vol.
50%
4,95 %
$0 Vol.
50%
4,90 %
$0 Vol.
50%
4,85 %
$0 Vol.
51%
4,80 %
$0 Vol.
51%
4,75 %
$0 Vol.
52%
4,70 %
$0 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent U.S. Treasury market dynamics show the 5-year yield near 4.52% as of September 3, 2026, after climbing sharply from sub-3.7% levels a year earlier amid elevated federal deficits, heavy supply, and inflation remaining above the Fed’s 2% target. Trader positioning reflects concerns that sticky core prices, rising energy costs, and debt issuance will keep medium-term rates elevated even as Fed Governor Waller’s recent comments reduced near-term hike odds ahead of the mid-September FOMC meeting. Labor data releases and upcoming inflation prints will shape whether yields test higher before year-end or stabilize near current levels, with the curve’s steepening bias underscoring term-premium demands over the policy-sensitive front end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent U.S. Treasury market dynamics show the 5-year yield near 4.52% as of September 3, 2026, after climbing sharply from sub-3.7% levels a year earlier amid elevated federal deficits, heavy supply, and inflation remaining above the Fed’s 2% target. Trader positioning reflects concerns that sticky core prices, rising energy costs, and debt issuance will keep medium-term rates elevated even as Fed Governor Waller’s recent comments reduced near-term hike odds ahead of the mid-September FOMC meeting. Labor data releases and upcoming inflation prints will shape whether yields test higher before year-end or stabilize near current levels, with the curve’s steepening bias underscoring term-premium demands over the policy-sensitive front end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Volume
$0Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. Treasury market dynamics show the 5-year yield near 4.52% as of September 3, 2026, after climbing sharply from sub-3.7% levels a year earlier amid elevated federal deficits, heavy supply, and inflation remaining above the Fed’s 2% target. Trader positioning reflects concerns that sticky core prices, rising energy costs, and debt issuance will keep medium-term rates elevated even as Fed Governor Waller’s recent comments reduced near-term hike odds ahead of the mid-September FOMC meeting. Labor data releases and upcoming inflation prints will shape whether yields test higher before year-end or stabilize near current levels, with the curve’s steepening bias underscoring term-premium demands over the policy-sensitive front end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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