**The market's overwhelming 96.1% implied probability for 0-1 Emmy wins for HBO's "DTF St. Louis" stems primarily from the intensely competitive 2026 limited series field and the show's limited precursor traction.** Despite securing 13 nominations—including Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series and several acting nods for Jason Bateman, Linda Cardellini, David Harbour, and others—the dark comedy crime miniseries has not dominated guild or critics' awards cycles the way past frontrunners have. Traders view the nomination volume as a solid but not decisive signal, given historical conversion rates for new HBO entries facing established competitors. The ceremony on September 14, 2026, remains the key catalyst, with creative arts Emmys in early September offering an early read. An upset yielding 2+ wins would require strong guild alignment or late momentum in technical categories like costumes or sound, scenarios the market currently prices as low-probability given the crowded category.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHow many Emmys will “DTF St. Louis” win?
How many Emmys will “DTF St. Louis” win?
0-1 96.8%
2-3 3.1%
4-5 <1%
6-7 <1%
$111,736 Vol.
$111,736 Vol.
14 sept. 2026
0-1
97%
2-3
3%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8-9
<1%
10+
<1%
0-1 96.8%
2-3 3.1%
4-5 <1%
6-7 <1%
$111,736 Vol.
$111,736 Vol.
14 sept. 2026
0-1
$50,099 Vol.
97%
2-3
$45,602 Vol.
3%
4-5
$9,115 Vol.
<1%
6-7
$2,784 Vol.
<1%
8-9
$2,309 Vol.
<1%
10+
$1,827 Vol.
<1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "DTF St. Louis," or by people for their roles in "DTF St. Louis," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The market's overwhelming 96.1% implied probability for 0-1 Emmy wins for HBO's "DTF St. Louis" stems primarily from the intensely competitive 2026 limited series field and the show's limited precursor traction.** Despite securing 13 nominations—including Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series and several acting nods for Jason Bateman, Linda Cardellini, David Harbour, and others—the dark comedy crime miniseries has not dominated guild or critics' awards cycles the way past frontrunners have. Traders view the nomination volume as a solid but not decisive signal, given historical conversion rates for new HBO entries facing established competitors. The ceremony on September 14, 2026, remains the key catalyst, with creative arts Emmys in early September offering an early read. An upset yielding 2+ wins would require strong guild alignment or late momentum in technical categories like costumes or sound, scenarios the market currently prices as low-probability given the crowded category.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "DTF St. Louis," or by people for their roles in "DTF St. Louis," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "DTF St. Louis," or by people for their roles in "DTF St. Louis," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volume
$111,736Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "DTF St. Louis," or by people for their roles in "DTF St. Louis," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The market's overwhelming 96.1% implied probability for 0-1 Emmy wins for HBO's "DTF St. Louis" stems primarily from the intensely competitive 2026 limited series field and the show's limited precursor traction.** Despite securing 13 nominations—including Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series and several acting nods for Jason Bateman, Linda Cardellini, David Harbour, and others—the dark comedy crime miniseries has not dominated guild or critics' awards cycles the way past frontrunners have. Traders view the nomination volume as a solid but not decisive signal, given historical conversion rates for new HBO entries facing established competitors. The ceremony on September 14, 2026, remains the key catalyst, with creative arts Emmys in early September offering an early read. An upset yielding 2+ wins would require strong guild alignment or late momentum in technical categories like costumes or sound, scenarios the market currently prices as low-probability given the crowded category.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "DTF St. Louis," or by people for their roles in "DTF St. Louis," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "DTF St. Louis," or by people for their roles in "DTF St. Louis," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$111,736Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The market's overwhelming 96.1% implied probability for 0-1 Emmy wins for HBO's "DTF St. Louis" stems primarily from the intensely competitive 2026 limited series field and the show's limited precursor traction.** Despite securing 13 nominations—including Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series and several acting nods for Jason Bateman, Linda Cardellini, David Harbour, and others—the dark comedy crime miniseries has not dominated guild or critics' awards cycles the way past frontrunners have. Traders view the nomination volume as a solid but not decisive signal, given historical conversion rates for new HBO entries facing established competitors. The ceremony on September 14, 2026, remains the key catalyst, with creative arts Emmys in early September offering an early read. An upset yielding 2+ wins would require strong guild alignment or late momentum in technical categories like costumes or sound, scenarios the market currently prices as low-probability given the crowded category.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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