Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its recent appointment alongside Morgan Stanley to advise the artificial intelligence company’s confidential S-1 filing and its lead-left role on the comparable SpaceX debut. The two banks dominate tech IPO bookrunning, with Goldman’s track record in large-scale deals and established relationships with OpenAI positioning it ahead of Morgan Stanley’s 7.0% odds and smaller players. OpenAI’s June filing keeps the timeline fluid into fall 2026, but the current setup reflects trader consensus on Goldman’s edge in competitive positioning among AI labs racing to public markets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGoldman Sachs 71%
Morgan Stanley 7%
UBS 5.9%
Deutsche Bank 3.6%
$21,509 Vol.
$21,509 Vol.

Goldman Sachs
71%

Morgan Stanley
7%

UBS
6%

Deutsche Bank
4%

Wells Fargo
4%

JPMorgan
3%

Barclays
2%

Bank of America
1%

Citigroup
1%
Goldman Sachs 71%
Morgan Stanley 7%
UBS 5.9%
Deutsche Bank 3.6%
$21,509 Vol.
$21,509 Vol.

Goldman Sachs
71%

Morgan Stanley
7%

UBS
6%

Deutsche Bank
4%

Wells Fargo
4%

JPMorgan
3%

Barclays
2%

Bank of America
1%

Citigroup
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its recent appointment alongside Morgan Stanley to advise the artificial intelligence company’s confidential S-1 filing and its lead-left role on the comparable SpaceX debut. The two banks dominate tech IPO bookrunning, with Goldman’s track record in large-scale deals and established relationships with OpenAI positioning it ahead of Morgan Stanley’s 7.0% odds and smaller players. OpenAI’s June filing keeps the timeline fluid into fall 2026, but the current setup reflects trader consensus on Goldman’s edge in competitive positioning among AI labs racing to public markets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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