Trader consensus prices an 85% implied probability on Apple launching a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by recent supply chain reports confirming a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Bloomberg analyst Mark Gurman dismissed early April delay rumors stemming from engineering validation test hurdles, noting trial production has begun with mass production eyed for August, enabling features like a crease-free 7.8-inch inner display, ultra-thin 4.5mm unfolded titanium chassis, and Touch ID power button. Competitive pressure from Samsung foldables and design leaks, including limited two-color options and $2,000-plus pricing, underscore premium positioning amid expected shortages. Apple's September event looms as the pivotal catalyst, though manufacturing complexities sustain the 15% 'No' tail risk.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$161,291 Vol.
$161,291 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$161,291 Vol.
$161,291 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 85% implied probability on Apple launching a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by recent supply chain reports confirming a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Bloomberg analyst Mark Gurman dismissed early April delay rumors stemming from engineering validation test hurdles, noting trial production has begun with mass production eyed for August, enabling features like a crease-free 7.8-inch inner display, ultra-thin 4.5mm unfolded titanium chassis, and Touch ID power button. Competitive pressure from Samsung foldables and design leaks, including limited two-color options and $2,000-plus pricing, underscore premium positioning amid expected shortages. Apple's September event looms as the pivotal catalyst, though manufacturing complexities sustain the 15% 'No' tail risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$161,291Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 85% implied probability on Apple launching a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by recent supply chain reports confirming a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Bloomberg analyst Mark Gurman dismissed early April delay rumors stemming from engineering validation test hurdles, noting trial production has begun with mass production eyed for August, enabling features like a crease-free 7.8-inch inner display, ultra-thin 4.5mm unfolded titanium chassis, and Touch ID power button. Competitive pressure from Samsung foldables and design leaks, including limited two-color options and $2,000-plus pricing, underscore premium positioning amid expected shortages. Apple's September event looms as the pivotal catalyst, though manufacturing complexities sustain the 15% 'No' tail risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$161,291Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices an 85% implied probability on Apple launching a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by recent supply chain reports confirming a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Bloomberg analyst Mark Gurman dismissed early April delay rumors stemming from engineering validation test hurdles, noting trial production has begun with mass production eyed for August, enabling features like a crease-free 7.8-inch inner display, ultra-thin 4.5mm unfolded titanium chassis, and Touch ID power button. Competitive pressure from Samsung foldables and design leaks, including limited two-color options and $2,000-plus pricing, underscore premium positioning amid expected shortages. Apple's September event looms as the pivotal catalyst, though manufacturing complexities sustain the 15% 'No' tail risk.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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