Persistent rainfall and high humidity across Chongqing on September 21 are limiting radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping below the 21°C level favored by traders at 85% implied probability. Official forecasts from regional meteorological sources indicate overnight lows near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with September climatology where cloud cover and moisture typically moderate diurnal ranges. Model consensus shows little support for cooler outcomes below 20°C absent a clearer air mass or stronger winds, while probabilities for 19°C or lower reflect residual uncertainty in localized measurement sites or brief clearing. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by Chongqing meteorological authorities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chongqing le 21 septembre ?
21°C 99%
17°C 3%
18°C 3%
20°C 3%
$233 Vol.
$233 Vol.
16°C ou moins
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Oui
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C ou plus
Non
21°C 99%
17°C 3%
18°C 3%
20°C 3%
$233 Vol.
$233 Vol.
16°C ou moins
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Oui
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Persistent rainfall and high humidity across Chongqing on September 21 are limiting radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping below the 21°C level favored by traders at 85% implied probability. Official forecasts from regional meteorological sources indicate overnight lows near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with September climatology where cloud cover and moisture typically moderate diurnal ranges. Model consensus shows little support for cooler outcomes below 20°C absent a clearer air mass or stronger winds, while probabilities for 19°C or lower reflect residual uncertainty in localized measurement sites or brief clearing. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by Chongqing meteorological authorities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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