Current forecasts for Mexico City’s overnight low on August 24 center on 12–14 °C, shaped by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, persistent cloud cover, and widespread rain associated with the summer monsoon pattern. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity and light winds reduce temperature drops below recent daily minima of 12–13 °C. Multiple model runs from regional meteorological services show no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky episode that would drive readings to single digits. Market-implied odds favoring 9 °C or below (47 %) therefore embed notable uncertainty around exact measurement timing or localized urban heat-island effects, while the 19 °C+ outcome (24 %) remains inconsistent with climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term driver.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Mexico le 24 août ?
La température la plus basse à Mexico le 24 août ?
9°C ou moins 93%
19°C ou plus 48%
17°C 36%
18°C 36%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
9°C ou moins
93%
10°C
35%
11°C
18%
12°C
18%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
36%
18°C
36%
19°C ou plus
48%
9°C ou moins 93%
19°C ou plus 48%
17°C 36%
18°C 36%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 août 2026
9°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
93%
10°C
$5 Vol.
35%
11°C
$0 Vol.
18%
12°C
$0 Vol.
18%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C
$0 Vol.
19%
17°C
$5 Vol.
36%
18°C
$5 Vol.
36%
19°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Mexico City’s overnight low on August 24 center on 12–14 °C, shaped by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, persistent cloud cover, and widespread rain associated with the summer monsoon pattern. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity and light winds reduce temperature drops below recent daily minima of 12–13 °C. Multiple model runs from regional meteorological services show no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky episode that would drive readings to single digits. Market-implied odds favoring 9 °C or below (47 %) therefore embed notable uncertainty around exact measurement timing or localized urban heat-island effects, while the 19 °C+ outcome (24 %) remains inconsistent with climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$25Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Mexico City’s overnight low on August 24 center on 12–14 °C, shaped by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, persistent cloud cover, and widespread rain associated with the summer monsoon pattern. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity and light winds reduce temperature drops below recent daily minima of 12–13 °C. Multiple model runs from regional meteorological services show no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky episode that would drive readings to single digits. Market-implied odds favoring 9 °C or below (47 %) therefore embed notable uncertainty around exact measurement timing or localized urban heat-island effects, while the 19 °C+ outcome (24 %) remains inconsistent with climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Mexico City’s overnight low on August 24 center on 12–14 °C, shaped by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, persistent cloud cover, and widespread rain associated with the summer monsoon pattern. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity and light winds reduce temperature drops below recent daily minima of 12–13 °C. Multiple model runs from regional meteorological services show no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky episode that would drive readings to single digits. Market-implied odds favoring 9 °C or below (47 %) therefore embed notable uncertainty around exact measurement timing or localized urban heat-island effects, while the 19 °C+ outcome (24 %) remains inconsistent with climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term driver.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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