**Trader consensus has converged on 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in São Paulo on August 24, 2026, reflecting official station observations placing the daily minimum near 13–14°C amid cooler-than-average winter conditions.** Data from São Paulo monitoring sites show a minimum of approximately 13.2°C with an average of 14.3°C and maximum of 16.3°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal norms for late August where overnight lows typically range 12–15°C. This outcome aligns with verified measurements from authoritative sources such as INMET-affiliated stations, where slight variations in microclimate or rounding protocols support the 14°C threshold over adjacent values. The market-implied odds exceeding 99% indicate high confidence in these post-event reports, with minimal uncertainty from model revisions or data adjustments expected at this stage. Scenarios that could challenge the resolution remain limited, primarily involving final quality-controlled updates from primary weather agencies that might shift the exact minimum by 1°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Sao Paulo le 24 août ?
La température la plus basse à Sao Paulo le 24 août ?
14°C 100.0%
12°C 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
9°C ou moins <1%
$6,411 Vol.
$6,411 Vol.
24 août 2026
9°C ou moins
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Oui
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C ou plus
Non
14°C 100.0%
12°C 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
9°C ou moins <1%
$6,411 Vol.
$6,411 Vol.
24 août 2026
9°C ou moins
$1,341 Vol.
Non
10°C
$1,407 Vol.
Non
11°C
$1,690 Vol.
Non
12°C
$37 Vol.
Non
13°C
$146 Vol.
Non
14°C
$61 Vol.
Oui
15°C
$301 Vol.
Non
16°C
$267 Vol.
Non
17°C
$265 Vol.
Non
18°C
$295 Vol.
Non
19°C ou plus
$601 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in São Paulo on August 24, 2026, reflecting official station observations placing the daily minimum near 13–14°C amid cooler-than-average winter conditions.** Data from São Paulo monitoring sites show a minimum of approximately 13.2°C with an average of 14.3°C and maximum of 16.3°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal norms for late August where overnight lows typically range 12–15°C. This outcome aligns with verified measurements from authoritative sources such as INMET-affiliated stations, where slight variations in microclimate or rounding protocols support the 14°C threshold over adjacent values. The market-implied odds exceeding 99% indicate high confidence in these post-event reports, with minimal uncertainty from model revisions or data adjustments expected at this stage. Scenarios that could challenge the resolution remain limited, primarily involving final quality-controlled updates from primary weather agencies that might shift the exact minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$6,411Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in São Paulo on August 24, 2026, reflecting official station observations placing the daily minimum near 13–14°C amid cooler-than-average winter conditions.** Data from São Paulo monitoring sites show a minimum of approximately 13.2°C with an average of 14.3°C and maximum of 16.3°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal norms for late August where overnight lows typically range 12–15°C. This outcome aligns with verified measurements from authoritative sources such as INMET-affiliated stations, where slight variations in microclimate or rounding protocols support the 14°C threshold over adjacent values. The market-implied odds exceeding 99% indicate high confidence in these post-event reports, with minimal uncertainty from model revisions or data adjustments expected at this stage. Scenarios that could challenge the resolution remain limited, primarily involving final quality-controlled updates from primary weather agencies that might shift the exact minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,411Date de fin
24 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Trader consensus has converged on 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in São Paulo on August 24, 2026, reflecting official station observations placing the daily minimum near 13–14°C amid cooler-than-average winter conditions.** Data from São Paulo monitoring sites show a minimum of approximately 13.2°C with an average of 14.3°C and maximum of 16.3°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal norms for late August where overnight lows typically range 12–15°C. This outcome aligns with verified measurements from authoritative sources such as INMET-affiliated stations, where slight variations in microclimate or rounding protocols support the 14°C threshold over adjacent values. The market-implied odds exceeding 99% indicate high confidence in these post-event reports, with minimal uncertainty from model revisions or data adjustments expected at this stage. Scenarios that could challenge the resolution remain limited, primarily involving final quality-controlled updates from primary weather agencies that might shift the exact minimum by 1°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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