Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's official weather station confirm the daily minimum temperature on May 15 reached exactly 15°C during early morning hours, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as diurnal warming under clear skies and light easterly winds prevented further drops. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where Seoul's average lows fall between 13°C and 16°C based on decades of KMA records, amid a high-pressure ridge fostering stable conditions. While final KMA daily summaries could theoretically revise automated readings with manual quality checks—such as if overlooked pre-dawn data emerges—such adjustments are exceedingly rare once the full 24-hour period elapses. Traders await the official report for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Séoul le 15 mai ?
15°C 100.0%
11°C ou moins <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$23,687 Vol.
$23,687 Vol.
11°C ou moins
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Oui
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C ou plus
Non
15°C 100.0%
11°C ou moins <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$23,687 Vol.
$23,687 Vol.
11°C ou moins
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Oui
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's official weather station confirm the daily minimum temperature on May 15 reached exactly 15°C during early morning hours, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as diurnal warming under clear skies and light easterly winds prevented further drops. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where Seoul's average lows fall between 13°C and 16°C based on decades of KMA records, amid a high-pressure ridge fostering stable conditions. While final KMA daily summaries could theoretically revise automated readings with manual quality checks—such as if overlooked pre-dawn data emerges—such adjustments are exceedingly rare once the full 24-hour period elapses. Traders await the official report for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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