Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast models project Seoul's lowest temperature on May 16 at around 15°C, aligning with trader consensus at 50% implied probability amid clear skies overnight that promote radiational cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. Recent observations on May 15 show mild spring warmth—warmer than the historical May average low of 12–14°C—limiting deeper drops, though light winds introduce uncertainty that boosts 16°C to 29% and 14°C to 12.5%. AccuWeather corroborates the 15°C low with sunny conditions, but ensemble models exhibit a 14–16°C spread due to urban heat island effects and potential cloud cover. Traders await KMA's final evening update before midnight local time for resolution based on official station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Séoul le 16 mai ?
La température la plus basse à Séoul le 16 mai ?
15°C 41%
16°C 29%
14°C 13%
17°C 4.9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 mai 2026
13°C ou moins
1%
14°C
13%
15°C
47%
16°C
29%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou plus
<1%
15°C 41%
16°C 29%
14°C 13%
17°C 4.9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 mai 2026
13°C ou moins
$281 Vol.
1%
14°C
$206 Vol.
13%
15°C
$98 Vol.
47%
16°C
$129 Vol.
29%
17°C
$127 Vol.
5%
18°C
$423 Vol.
1%
19°C
$413 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,093 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,464 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,060 Vol.
<1%
23°C ou plus
$4,389 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast models project Seoul's lowest temperature on May 16 at around 15°C, aligning with trader consensus at 50% implied probability amid clear skies overnight that promote radiational cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. Recent observations on May 15 show mild spring warmth—warmer than the historical May average low of 12–14°C—limiting deeper drops, though light winds introduce uncertainty that boosts 16°C to 29% and 14°C to 12.5%. AccuWeather corroborates the 15°C low with sunny conditions, but ensemble models exhibit a 14–16°C spread due to urban heat island effects and potential cloud cover. Traders await KMA's final evening update before midnight local time for resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$9,682Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast models project Seoul's lowest temperature on May 16 at around 15°C, aligning with trader consensus at 50% implied probability amid clear skies overnight that promote radiational cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. Recent observations on May 15 show mild spring warmth—warmer than the historical May average low of 12–14°C—limiting deeper drops, though light winds introduce uncertainty that boosts 16°C to 29% and 14°C to 12.5%. AccuWeather corroborates the 15°C low with sunny conditions, but ensemble models exhibit a 14–16°C spread due to urban heat island effects and potential cloud cover. Traders await KMA's final evening update before midnight local time for resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,682Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIKorea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast models project Seoul's lowest temperature on May 16 at around 15°C, aligning with trader consensus at 50% implied probability amid clear skies overnight that promote radiational cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. Recent observations on May 15 show mild spring warmth—warmer than the historical May average low of 12–14°C—limiting deeper drops, though light winds introduce uncertainty that boosts 16°C to 29% and 14°C to 12.5%. AccuWeather corroborates the 15°C low with sunny conditions, but ensemble models exhibit a 14–16°C spread due to urban heat island effects and potential cloud cover. Traders await KMA's final evening update before midnight local time for resolution based on official station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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