Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 8 will settle near 17°C under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and a stable air mass, aligning with the seasonal average low of 15.2°C but above the 11°C threshold. Market-implied odds favoring 11°C or below at 48% likely reflect trader focus on potential radiational cooling during clear overnight periods or minor model spread in dew point and wind forecasts that could dip readings lower. Bins clustered around 12–16°C capture the range of historical variability and current observational trends, while probabilities near zero for 17°C and above underscore the limited upside from warmer advection. Updated model runs and official minimum temperature reports from Pearson Airport will provide the key data for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Toronto le 8 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Toronto le 8 septembre ?
11°C ou moins 96%
12°C 74%
14°C 38%
13°C 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
96%
12°C
74%
13°C
38%
14°C
38%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C ou plus
<1%
11°C ou moins 96%
12°C 74%
14°C 38%
13°C 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
$35 Vol.
96%
12°C
$75 Vol.
74%
13°C
$21 Vol.
38%
14°C
$0 Vol.
38%
15°C
$16 Vol.
38%
16°C
$0 Vol.
38%
17°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$420 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
21°C ou plus
$200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 8 will settle near 17°C under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and a stable air mass, aligning with the seasonal average low of 15.2°C but above the 11°C threshold. Market-implied odds favoring 11°C or below at 48% likely reflect trader focus on potential radiational cooling during clear overnight periods or minor model spread in dew point and wind forecasts that could dip readings lower. Bins clustered around 12–16°C capture the range of historical variability and current observational trends, while probabilities near zero for 17°C and above underscore the limited upside from warmer advection. Updated model runs and official minimum temperature reports from Pearson Airport will provide the key data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,463Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 8 will settle near 17°C under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and a stable air mass, aligning with the seasonal average low of 15.2°C but above the 11°C threshold. Market-implied odds favoring 11°C or below at 48% likely reflect trader focus on potential radiational cooling during clear overnight periods or minor model spread in dew point and wind forecasts that could dip readings lower. Bins clustered around 12–16°C capture the range of historical variability and current observational trends, while probabilities near zero for 17°C and above underscore the limited upside from warmer advection. Updated model runs and official minimum temperature reports from Pearson Airport will provide the key data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,463Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 8 will settle near 17°C under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and a stable air mass, aligning with the seasonal average low of 15.2°C but above the 11°C threshold. Market-implied odds favoring 11°C or below at 48% likely reflect trader focus on potential radiational cooling during clear overnight periods or minor model spread in dew point and wind forecasts that could dip readings lower. Bins clustered around 12–16°C capture the range of historical variability and current observational trends, while probabilities near zero for 17°C and above underscore the limited upside from warmer advection. Updated model runs and official minimum temperature reports from Pearson Airport will provide the key data for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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