Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open Senate seat by defeating Representative Angie Craig by nearly 20 points in the August primary, consolidating progressive support in a state that has not elected a Republican to statewide office since 2006. The race to succeed retiring Senator Tina Smith features a Democratic-leaning electorate that supported Kamala Harris by four points in 2024, giving Flanagan a structural edge as lieutenant governor with broad name recognition and party infrastructure. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan patterns and limited Republican success in similar cycles. Michele Tafoya’s primary win provides a moderate general-election nominee with media visibility, yet traders assign her low odds absent major shifts. Potential disruptors include sustained focus on state fraud concerns that could erode Democratic margins or unusually high Republican turnout in suburban and rural areas.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Minnesota
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Minnesota
$93,049 Vol.
$93,049 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
93%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$93,049 Vol.
$93,049 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$63,445 Vol.
93%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$29,604 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open Senate seat by defeating Representative Angie Craig by nearly 20 points in the August primary, consolidating progressive support in a state that has not elected a Republican to statewide office since 2006. The race to succeed retiring Senator Tina Smith features a Democratic-leaning electorate that supported Kamala Harris by four points in 2024, giving Flanagan a structural edge as lieutenant governor with broad name recognition and party infrastructure. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan patterns and limited Republican success in similar cycles. Michele Tafoya’s primary win provides a moderate general-election nominee with media visibility, yet traders assign her low odds absent major shifts. Potential disruptors include sustained focus on state fraud concerns that could erode Democratic margins or unusually high Republican turnout in suburban and rural areas.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$93,049Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open Senate seat by defeating Representative Angie Craig by nearly 20 points in the August primary, consolidating progressive support in a state that has not elected a Republican to statewide office since 2006. The race to succeed retiring Senator Tina Smith features a Democratic-leaning electorate that supported Kamala Harris by four points in 2024, giving Flanagan a structural edge as lieutenant governor with broad name recognition and party infrastructure. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan patterns and limited Republican success in similar cycles. Michele Tafoya’s primary win provides a moderate general-election nominee with media visibility, yet traders assign her low odds absent major shifts. Potential disruptors include sustained focus on state fraud concerns that could erode Democratic margins or unusually high Republican turnout in suburban and rural areas.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$93,049Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota’s open Senate seat by defeating Representative Angie Craig by nearly 20 points in the August primary, consolidating progressive support in a state that has not elected a Republican to statewide office since 2006. The race to succeed retiring Senator Tina Smith features a Democratic-leaning electorate that supported Kamala Harris by four points in 2024, giving Flanagan a structural edge as lieutenant governor with broad name recognition and party infrastructure. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan patterns and limited Republican success in similar cycles. Michele Tafoya’s primary win provides a moderate general-election nominee with media visibility, yet traders assign her low odds absent major shifts. Potential disruptors include sustained focus on state fraud concerns that could erode Democratic margins or unusually high Republican turnout in suburban and rural areas.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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