Minnesota’s 4th Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat centered on St. Paul and Ramsey County, with a partisan voter index of D+18 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Betty McCollum, first elected in 2000, secured renomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote, while Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom prevailed in his primary but faces limited resources and name recognition in a district that last delivered a Republican House victory decades ago. Forecasters across outlets classify the race as safe or solid Democratic, and trader pricing reflects this structural edge ahead of the November 3 general election. An upset would require an unusual confluence of events such as a major scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMN-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MN-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$22,262 Vol.
$22,262 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
5%
$22,262 Vol.
$22,262 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$3,902 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$18,361 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota’s 4th Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat centered on St. Paul and Ramsey County, with a partisan voter index of D+18 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Betty McCollum, first elected in 2000, secured renomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote, while Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom prevailed in his primary but faces limited resources and name recognition in a district that last delivered a Republican House victory decades ago. Forecasters across outlets classify the race as safe or solid Democratic, and trader pricing reflects this structural edge ahead of the November 3 general election. An upset would require an unusual confluence of events such as a major scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$22,262Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota’s 4th Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat centered on St. Paul and Ramsey County, with a partisan voter index of D+18 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Betty McCollum, first elected in 2000, secured renomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote, while Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom prevailed in his primary but faces limited resources and name recognition in a district that last delivered a Republican House victory decades ago. Forecasters across outlets classify the race as safe or solid Democratic, and trader pricing reflects this structural edge ahead of the November 3 general election. An upset would require an unusual confluence of events such as a major scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,262Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota’s 4th Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat centered on St. Paul and Ramsey County, with a partisan voter index of D+18 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Betty McCollum, first elected in 2000, secured renomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote, while Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom prevailed in his primary but faces limited resources and name recognition in a district that last delivered a Republican House victory decades ago. Forecasters across outlets classify the race as safe or solid Democratic, and trader pricing reflects this structural edge ahead of the November 3 general election. An upset would require an unusual confluence of events such as a major scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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