Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since his January 3, 2026 capture by American special forces during military strikes on Venezuela. He and his wife face longstanding Southern District of New York charges of narcoterrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons violations, to which both pleaded not guilty at arraignment. No bail has been granted, proceedings have been adjourned into spring 2026, and legal challenges to the arrest’s validity continue. Venezuela’s interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez has released hundreds of political prisoners as part of diplomatic concessions while demanding Maduro’s immediate return, heightening tensions over possible plea negotiations, health developments, or extended detention ahead of trial.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$2,631,347 Vol.
31 décembre
14%
$2,631,347 Vol.
31 décembre
14%
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since his January 3, 2026 capture by American special forces during military strikes on Venezuela. He and his wife face longstanding Southern District of New York charges of narcoterrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons violations, to which both pleaded not guilty at arraignment. No bail has been granted, proceedings have been adjourned into spring 2026, and legal challenges to the arrest’s validity continue. Venezuela’s interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez has released hundreds of political prisoners as part of diplomatic concessions while demanding Maduro’s immediate return, heightening tensions over possible plea negotiations, health developments, or extended detention ahead of trial.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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