The film's blockbuster $360 million opening and subsequent strong holds through its first six weekends—dropping to an $18 million sixth frame—have cemented trader expectations for a steep decline by week seven, with theater counts already down over 20% and typical superhero legs pointing to sub-$9 million results. Critical acclaim, Zendaya and Tom Holland's star power, and robust international performance have sustained momentum longer than many anticipated, but the absence of major holidays, increasing competition, and natural audience fatigue now dominate sentiment. An upset above $9 million would require an unusually resilient hold amid these headwinds, something rare for even the biggest 2026 releases at this stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour« Spider-Man : Brand New Day » 7e box-office du week-end
« Spider-Man : Brand New Day » 7e box-office du week-end
<9M 97.0%
9-10m 1.3%
10-11m 1.1%
11-12 M <1%
$36,206 Vol.
$36,206 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
<9M
97%
9-10m
1%
10-11m
1%
11-12 M
1%
12 millions +
<1%
<9M 97.0%
9-10m 1.3%
10-11m 1.1%
11-12 M <1%
$36,206 Vol.
$36,206 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
<9M
$19,237 Vol.
97%
9-10m
$8,384 Vol.
1%
10-11m
$6,693 Vol.
1%
11-12 M
$1,410 Vol.
1%
12 millions +
$482 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The film's blockbuster $360 million opening and subsequent strong holds through its first six weekends—dropping to an $18 million sixth frame—have cemented trader expectations for a steep decline by week seven, with theater counts already down over 20% and typical superhero legs pointing to sub-$9 million results. Critical acclaim, Zendaya and Tom Holland's star power, and robust international performance have sustained momentum longer than many anticipated, but the absence of major holidays, increasing competition, and natural audience fatigue now dominate sentiment. An upset above $9 million would require an unusually resilient hold amid these headwinds, something rare for even the biggest 2026 releases at this stage.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ET
Volume
$36,206Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The film's blockbuster $360 million opening and subsequent strong holds through its first six weekends—dropping to an $18 million sixth frame—have cemented trader expectations for a steep decline by week seven, with theater counts already down over 20% and typical superhero legs pointing to sub-$9 million results. Critical acclaim, Zendaya and Tom Holland's star power, and robust international performance have sustained momentum longer than many anticipated, but the absence of major holidays, increasing competition, and natural audience fatigue now dominate sentiment. An upset above $9 million would require an unusually resilient hold amid these headwinds, something rare for even the biggest 2026 releases at this stage.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$36,206Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The film's blockbuster $360 million opening and subsequent strong holds through its first six weekends—dropping to an $18 million sixth frame—have cemented trader expectations for a steep decline by week seven, with theater counts already down over 20% and typical superhero legs pointing to sub-$9 million results. Critical acclaim, Zendaya and Tom Holland's star power, and robust international performance have sustained momentum longer than many anticipated, but the absence of major holidays, increasing competition, and natural audience fatigue now dominate sentiment. An upset above $9 million would require an unusually resilient hold amid these headwinds, something rare for even the biggest 2026 releases at this stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes