Mixed critical reception has anchored trader expectations for a subdued opening for *The Uprising*, with early reviews citing uninspired direction and a conventional finale that undercuts its historical rebellion narrative. Paul Greengrass’s R-rated Focus Features drama, starring Andrew Garfield as the leader of the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt, enters a September marketplace without strong presale momentum or breakout buzz, despite the cast’s pedigree and timely “no kings” themes. The market-implied 58.5% probability on under $4.5 million reflects this limited commercial positioning, while the thinner odds on higher brackets signal little expectation of crossover appeal. The three-day frame beginning September 11 will provide the first real test of audience interest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBox-office d'ouverture du week-end « The Uprising »
<4,5m 61%
4,5-5,5 millions 20%
5,5-6,5 M 14%
6,5-7,5 M 10%
<4,5m
59%
4,5-5,5 millions
20%
5,5-6,5 M
14%
6,5-7,5 M
10%
7,5 millions+
6%
<4,5m 61%
4,5-5,5 millions 20%
5,5-6,5 M 14%
6,5-7,5 M 10%
<4,5m
59%
4,5-5,5 millions
20%
5,5-6,5 M
14%
6,5-7,5 M
10%
7,5 millions+
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Mixed critical reception has anchored trader expectations for a subdued opening for *The Uprising*, with early reviews citing uninspired direction and a conventional finale that undercuts its historical rebellion narrative. Paul Greengrass’s R-rated Focus Features drama, starring Andrew Garfield as the leader of the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt, enters a September marketplace without strong presale momentum or breakout buzz, despite the cast’s pedigree and timely “no kings” themes. The market-implied 58.5% probability on under $4.5 million reflects this limited commercial positioning, while the thinner odds on higher brackets signal little expectation of crossover appeal. The three-day frame beginning September 11 will provide the first real test of audience interest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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