Strong trader consensus for a $6M+ eighth weekend, reflected in the 95.7% implied probability, stems from the film’s exceptional legs and cultural dominance since its late-July release. After shattering domestic records to surpass *Star Wars: The Force Awakens* with over $936M and reaching $2.45B worldwide, *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* continues drawing audiences through Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, positive critical reception, and sustained word-of-mouth. Recent tracking shows only a moderate drop to $8.4M in the prior frame despite new competition, supporting expectations of another solid hold. An upset below $6M would require an unusually steep decline from audience fatigue or blockbuster counterprogramming, scenarios that appear unlikely given the movie’s proven resilience.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour"Spider-Man : Brand New Day" 8e box-office du week-end
"Spider-Man : Brand New Day" 8e box-office du week-end
6m+ 95.6%
5,5-6 millions 4.5%
4-4,5 millions 1.1%
<4 M <1%
$36,543 Vol.
$36,543 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
<4 M
1%
4-4,5 millions
1%
4,5-5 millions
<1%
5-5,5 M
<1%
5,5-6 millions
5%
6m+
96%
6m+ 95.6%
5,5-6 millions 4.5%
4-4,5 millions 1.1%
<4 M <1%
$36,543 Vol.
$36,543 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
<4 M
$1,029 Vol.
1%
4-4,5 millions
$885 Vol.
1%
4,5-5 millions
$3,630 Vol.
<1%
5-5,5 M
$3,216 Vol.
<1%
5,5-6 millions
$7,185 Vol.
5%
6m+
$20,598 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong trader consensus for a $6M+ eighth weekend, reflected in the 95.7% implied probability, stems from the film’s exceptional legs and cultural dominance since its late-July release. After shattering domestic records to surpass *Star Wars: The Force Awakens* with over $936M and reaching $2.45B worldwide, *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* continues drawing audiences through Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, positive critical reception, and sustained word-of-mouth. Recent tracking shows only a moderate drop to $8.4M in the prior frame despite new competition, supporting expectations of another solid hold. An upset below $6M would require an unusually steep decline from audience fatigue or blockbuster counterprogramming, scenarios that appear unlikely given the movie’s proven resilience.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$36,543Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 5:36 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.the-numbers.com/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong trader consensus for a $6M+ eighth weekend, reflected in the 95.7% implied probability, stems from the film’s exceptional legs and cultural dominance since its late-July release. After shattering domestic records to surpass *Star Wars: The Force Awakens* with over $936M and reaching $2.45B worldwide, *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* continues drawing audiences through Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, positive critical reception, and sustained word-of-mouth. Recent tracking shows only a moderate drop to $8.4M in the prior frame despite new competition, supporting expectations of another solid hold. An upset below $6M would require an unusually steep decline from audience fatigue or blockbuster counterprogramming, scenarios that appear unlikely given the movie’s proven resilience.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$36,543Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 5:36 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.the-numbers.com/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus for a $6M+ eighth weekend, reflected in the 95.7% implied probability, stems from the film’s exceptional legs and cultural dominance since its late-July release. After shattering domestic records to surpass *Star Wars: The Force Awakens* with over $936M and reaching $2.45B worldwide, *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* continues drawing audiences through Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, positive critical reception, and sustained word-of-mouth. Recent tracking shows only a moderate drop to $8.4M in the prior frame despite new competition, supporting expectations of another solid hold. An upset below $6M would require an unusually steep decline from audience fatigue or blockbuster counterprogramming, scenarios that appear unlikely given the movie’s proven resilience.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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