President Trump signed an executive order on June 2, 2026, establishing a voluntary federal framework for reviewing “covered frontier” AI models—those with advanced cyber capabilities—for national security risks up to 30 days before release. The order followed weeks of delay over competitiveness concerns and explicitly rules out mandatory licensing or preclearance. Major developers including OpenAI have signaled compliance, while the policy directs agencies to create benchmarking and a cybersecurity clearinghouse within 60 days. Traders are monitoring implementation details, any subsequent company announcements, and whether the voluntary approach evolves amid ongoing U.S.-China AI competition and upcoming regulatory deadlines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$322,472 Vol.
30 juin 2026
June 30
12%
July 31
50%
$322,472 Vol.
June 30
$162,801 Vol.
12%
July 31
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump signed an executive order on June 2, 2026, establishing a voluntary federal framework for reviewing “covered frontier” AI models—those with advanced cyber capabilities—for national security risks up to 30 days before release. The order followed weeks of delay over competitiveness concerns and explicitly rules out mandatory licensing or preclearance. Major developers including OpenAI have signaled compliance, while the policy directs agencies to create benchmarking and a cybersecurity clearinghouse within 60 days. Traders are monitoring implementation details, any subsequent company announcements, and whether the voluntary approach evolves amid ongoing U.S.-China AI competition and upcoming regulatory deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 26, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Volume
$322,472Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump signed an executive order on June 2, 2026, establishing a voluntary federal framework for reviewing “covered frontier” AI models—those with advanced cyber capabilities—for national security risks up to 30 days before release. The order followed weeks of delay over competitiveness concerns and explicitly rules out mandatory licensing or preclearance. Major developers including OpenAI have signaled compliance, while the policy directs agencies to create benchmarking and a cybersecurity clearinghouse within 60 days. Traders are monitoring implementation details, any subsequent company announcements, and whether the voluntary approach evolves amid ongoing U.S.-China AI competition and upcoming regulatory deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$322,472Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump signed an executive order on June 2, 2026, establishing a voluntary federal framework for reviewing “covered frontier” AI models—those with advanced cyber capabilities—for national security risks up to 30 days before release. The order followed weeks of delay over competitiveness concerns and explicitly rules out mandatory licensing or preclearance. Major developers including OpenAI have signaled compliance, while the policy directs agencies to create benchmarking and a cybersecurity clearinghouse within 60 days. Traders are monitoring implementation details, any subsequent company announcements, and whether the voluntary approach evolves amid ongoing U.S.-China AI competition and upcoming regulatory deadlines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes