Alibaba leads the market at 84.5% due to its Qwen series delivering the highest weekly token usage share among Chinese providers and a broad lineup of six model releases through early 2026 focused on coding, reasoning, and multimodal capabilities. This scale in commercial deployment and infrastructure underpins its position on the Chatbot Arena leaderboard that will determine resolution on June 30. Z.ai trails at 13.5% with GLM-5's enterprise traction and Huawei Ascend compatibility, appealing to domestic procurement needs. Remaining options such as Xiaomi, DeepSeek, and ByteDance show narrower strengths in specific benchmarks or funding rounds but trail in aggregate usage and release cadence. Trader pricing aligns with these recent performance differentials in a field where incremental model updates can still shift relative rankings before month-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAlibaba 85%
Z.ai 14%
Xiaomi 1.3%
Moonshot <1%
$32,013 Vol.
$32,013 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Alibaba
85%
Z.ai
14%
Xiaomi
1%
Moonshot
1%
ByteDance
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Baidu
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Alibaba 85%
Z.ai 14%
Xiaomi 1.3%
Moonshot <1%
$32,013 Vol.
$32,013 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Alibaba
$7,078 Vol.
85%
Z.ai
$4,208 Vol.
14%
Xiaomi
$2,901 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
$2,980 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$2,726 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$2,636 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$3,406 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$2,391 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$2,054 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$1,087 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$545 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Alibaba leads the market at 84.5% due to its Qwen series delivering the highest weekly token usage share among Chinese providers and a broad lineup of six model releases through early 2026 focused on coding, reasoning, and multimodal capabilities. This scale in commercial deployment and infrastructure underpins its position on the Chatbot Arena leaderboard that will determine resolution on June 30. Z.ai trails at 13.5% with GLM-5's enterprise traction and Huawei Ascend compatibility, appealing to domestic procurement needs. Remaining options such as Xiaomi, DeepSeek, and ByteDance show narrower strengths in specific benchmarks or funding rounds but trail in aggregate usage and release cadence. Trader pricing aligns with these recent performance differentials in a field where incremental model updates can still shift relative rankings before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Marché ouvert : May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volume
$32,013Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Alibaba leads the market at 84.5% due to its Qwen series delivering the highest weekly token usage share among Chinese providers and a broad lineup of six model releases through early 2026 focused on coding, reasoning, and multimodal capabilities. This scale in commercial deployment and infrastructure underpins its position on the Chatbot Arena leaderboard that will determine resolution on June 30. Z.ai trails at 13.5% with GLM-5's enterprise traction and Huawei Ascend compatibility, appealing to domestic procurement needs. Remaining options such as Xiaomi, DeepSeek, and ByteDance show narrower strengths in specific benchmarks or funding rounds but trail in aggregate usage and release cadence. Trader pricing aligns with these recent performance differentials in a field where incremental model updates can still shift relative rankings before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$32,013Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alibaba leads the market at 84.5% due to its Qwen series delivering the highest weekly token usage share among Chinese providers and a broad lineup of six model releases through early 2026 focused on coding, reasoning, and multimodal capabilities. This scale in commercial deployment and infrastructure underpins its position on the Chatbot Arena leaderboard that will determine resolution on June 30. Z.ai trails at 13.5% with GLM-5's enterprise traction and Huawei Ascend compatibility, appealing to domestic procurement needs. Remaining options such as Xiaomi, DeepSeek, and ByteDance show narrower strengths in specific benchmarks or funding rounds but trail in aggregate usage and release cadence. Trader pricing aligns with these recent performance differentials in a field where incremental model updates can still shift relative rankings before month-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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