Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 1.2–1.5 million votes at 35% as the leading outcome for total turnout in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff on May 26, reflecting historical patterns where runoff participation drops 40–60% from the March 3 primary's 2.16 million GOP ballots amid high midterm interest. A University of Houston Hobby School poll released May 5 shows Attorney General Ken Paxton leading incumbent Sen. John Cornyn 48–45% among likely voters, sustaining mobilization in this closely contested race over issues like the SAVE America Act and filibuster reform. Absent a Trump endorsement, enthusiasm tempers higher buckets, though early voting starting May 18 could signal shifts before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourParticipation au premier tour républicain du Sénat du Texas
Participation au premier tour républicain du Sénat du Texas
1,2–1,5 M 26.4%
1,8–2,1 M 20.4%
1,5–1,8M 18.6%
0,9–1,2 M 19%
$88,732 Vol.
$88,732 Vol.
26 mai 2026
<0,6M
3%
0,6–0,9 M
11%
0,9–1,2 M
19%
1,2–1,5 M
35%
1,5–1,8M
19%
1,8–2,1 M
20%
2,1–2,4 M
1%
2,4–2,7M
1%
2,7 M+
1%
1,2–1,5 M 26.4%
1,8–2,1 M 20.4%
1,5–1,8M 18.6%
0,9–1,2 M 19%
$88,732 Vol.
$88,732 Vol.
26 mai 2026
<0,6M
$998 Vol.
3%
0,6–0,9 M
$53,297 Vol.
11%
0,9–1,2 M
$1,101 Vol.
19%
1,2–1,5 M
$24,788 Vol.
35%
1,5–1,8M
$576 Vol.
19%
1,8–2,1 M
$1,739 Vol.
20%
2,1–2,4 M
$2,047 Vol.
1%
2,4–2,7M
$2,494 Vol.
1%
2,7 M+
$1,693 Vol.
1%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 1.2–1.5 million votes at 35% as the leading outcome for total turnout in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff on May 26, reflecting historical patterns where runoff participation drops 40–60% from the March 3 primary's 2.16 million GOP ballots amid high midterm interest. A University of Houston Hobby School poll released May 5 shows Attorney General Ken Paxton leading incumbent Sen. John Cornyn 48–45% among likely voters, sustaining mobilization in this closely contested race over issues like the SAVE America Act and filibuster reform. Absent a Trump endorsement, enthusiasm tempers higher buckets, though early voting starting May 18 could signal shifts before election day.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$88,732Date de fin
26 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 1.2–1.5 million votes at 35% as the leading outcome for total turnout in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff on May 26, reflecting historical patterns where runoff participation drops 40–60% from the March 3 primary's 2.16 million GOP ballots amid high midterm interest. A University of Houston Hobby School poll released May 5 shows Attorney General Ken Paxton leading incumbent Sen. John Cornyn 48–45% among likely voters, sustaining mobilization in this closely contested race over issues like the SAVE America Act and filibuster reform. Absent a Trump endorsement, enthusiasm tempers higher buckets, though early voting starting May 18 could signal shifts before election day.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$88,732Date de fin
26 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 1.2–1.5 million votes at 35% as the leading outcome for total turnout in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff on May 26, reflecting historical patterns where runoff participation drops 40–60% from the March 3 primary's 2.16 million GOP ballots amid high midterm interest. A University of Houston Hobby School poll released May 5 shows Attorney General Ken Paxton leading incumbent Sen. John Cornyn 48–45% among likely voters, sustaining mobilization in this closely contested race over issues like the SAVE America Act and filibuster reform. Absent a Trump endorsement, enthusiasm tempers higher buckets, though early voting starting May 18 could signal shifts before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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