A University of Houston poll conducted April 28-May 5 among 1,200 likely GOP primary runoff voters shows Attorney General Ken Paxton leading incumbent Sen. John Cornyn 48%-45%—a three-point edge within the ±2.8% margin of error—mirroring RealClearPolling's average of Paxton +3.2, fueling trader consensus for a narrow Paxton win by 6-9 points as the top outcome. The March 3 first round forced this May 26 runoff after neither hit 50%, with Rep. Wesley Hunt's supporters favoring Paxton 54%-35%. Paxton's edge among non-college voters on immigration and election integrity contrasts Cornyn's fundraising advantage and appeal on inflation; recent Paxton attack ads and Cornyn's Trump highway naming bill underscore escalating tensions ahead of early voting starting May 16, keeping margins contested.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPaxton 6–9 % 23%
Cornyn <3% 18.3%
Paxton 9 %+ 16.4%
Paxton 3–6 % 14%
$59,202 Vol.
$59,202 Vol.
25 mai 2026
Paxton 9 %+
16%
Paxton 6–9 %
23%
Paxton 3–6 %
14%
Paxton <3%
11%
Cornyn <3%
18%
Cornyn 3–6 %
7%
Cornyn 6–9%
7%
Cornyn 9 %+
10%
Paxton 6–9 % 23%
Cornyn <3% 18.3%
Paxton 9 %+ 16.4%
Paxton 3–6 % 14%
$59,202 Vol.
$59,202 Vol.
25 mai 2026
Paxton 9 %+
$11,882 Vol.
16%
Paxton 6–9 %
$6,727 Vol.
23%
Paxton 3–6 %
$5,750 Vol.
14%
Paxton <3%
$7,085 Vol.
11%
Cornyn <3%
$5,174 Vol.
18%
Cornyn 3–6 %
$5,243 Vol.
7%
Cornyn 6–9%
$5,306 Vol.
7%
Cornyn 9 %+
$12,034 Vol.
10%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.A University of Houston poll conducted April 28-May 5 among 1,200 likely GOP primary runoff voters shows Attorney General Ken Paxton leading incumbent Sen. John Cornyn 48%-45%—a three-point edge within the ±2.8% margin of error—mirroring RealClearPolling's average of Paxton +3.2, fueling trader consensus for a narrow Paxton win by 6-9 points as the top outcome. The March 3 first round forced this May 26 runoff after neither hit 50%, with Rep. Wesley Hunt's supporters favoring Paxton 54%-35%. Paxton's edge among non-college voters on immigration and election integrity contrasts Cornyn's fundraising advantage and appeal on inflation; recent Paxton attack ads and Cornyn's Trump highway naming bill underscore escalating tensions ahead of early voting starting May 16, keeping margins contested.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Marché ouvert : Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$59,202Date de fin
25 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.A University of Houston poll conducted April 28-May 5 among 1,200 likely GOP primary runoff voters shows Attorney General Ken Paxton leading incumbent Sen. John Cornyn 48%-45%—a three-point edge within the ±2.8% margin of error—mirroring RealClearPolling's average of Paxton +3.2, fueling trader consensus for a narrow Paxton win by 6-9 points as the top outcome. The March 3 first round forced this May 26 runoff after neither hit 50%, with Rep. Wesley Hunt's supporters favoring Paxton 54%-35%. Paxton's edge among non-college voters on immigration and election integrity contrasts Cornyn's fundraising advantage and appeal on inflation; recent Paxton attack ads and Cornyn's Trump highway naming bill underscore escalating tensions ahead of early voting starting May 16, keeping margins contested.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$59,202Date de fin
25 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A University of Houston poll conducted April 28-May 5 among 1,200 likely GOP primary runoff voters shows Attorney General Ken Paxton leading incumbent Sen. John Cornyn 48%-45%—a three-point edge within the ±2.8% margin of error—mirroring RealClearPolling's average of Paxton +3.2, fueling trader consensus for a narrow Paxton win by 6-9 points as the top outcome. The March 3 first round forced this May 26 runoff after neither hit 50%, with Rep. Wesley Hunt's supporters favoring Paxton 54%-35%. Paxton's edge among non-college voters on immigration and election integrity contrasts Cornyn's fundraising advantage and appeal on inflation; recent Paxton attack ads and Cornyn's Trump highway naming bill underscore escalating tensions ahead of early voting starting May 16, keeping margins contested.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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