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Élections·Primaire De La Maison

NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Élections·Primaire De La Maison

NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Rebecca Bennett 77%

Brian Varela 20.5%

Tina Shah 4.5%

Michael Roth 4.2%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Rebecca Bennett 77%

Brian Varela 20.5%

Tina Shah 4.5%

Michael Roth 4.2%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Rebecca Bennett

$661 Vol.

77%

Brian Varela

$1,088 Vol.

20%

Tina Shah

$604 Vol.

5%

Michael Roth

$1,183 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Bennett commands an 82.5% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner in the NJ-07 Democratic primary on June 2, driven by her sweep of key county party endorsements from Morris, Hunterdon, and Union Democrats earlier this spring, plus dominant grassroots fundraising exceeding $2.6 million without self-funding or corporate PACs, affording $1.4 million cash on hand as of early April. Recent boosts include a VoteVets six-figure ad buy in late April and her digital spots emphasizing Navy helicopter pilot experience. Brian Varela holds 26% via substantial self-funding to stay competitive amid weaker establishment backing, while Tina Shah (4.7%) and Michael Roth (4.5%) lag despite recent ads and minor PAC support like Roth's $25,000 from Coalition for Progress. Last night's debate highlighted policy overlaps on issues like minimum wage but yielded no clear momentum shift.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$3,536
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Bennett commands an 82.5% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner in the NJ-07 Democratic primary on June 2, driven by her sweep of key county party endorsements from Morris, Hunterdon, and Union Democrats earlier this spring, plus dominant grassroots fundraising exceeding $2.6 million without self-funding or corporate PACs, affording $1.4 million cash on hand as of early April. Recent boosts include a VoteVets six-figure ad buy in late April and her digital spots emphasizing Navy helicopter pilot experience. Brian Varela holds 26% via substantial self-funding to stay competitive amid weaker establishment backing, while Tina Shah (4.7%) and Michael Roth (4.5%) lag despite recent ads and minor PAC support like Roth's $25,000 from Coalition for Progress. Last night's debate highlighted policy overlaps on issues like minimum wage but yielded no clear momentum shift.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$3,536
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Rebecca Bennett » à 77%, suivi de « Brian Varela » à 20%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 77¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 77% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 22, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner » est « Rebecca Bennett » à 77%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 77% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Brian Varela » à 20%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.