Charles Booker's 84% implied probability as Kentucky Democratic Senate primary winner stems from his sustained polling lead, including an 18-point edge in the April Emerson College/FOX56 survey and a 34.5% average on RealClearPolling ahead of the May 19 vote. Recent endorsements, such as Our Revolution on May 11 bolstering his grassroots appeal emphasizing economic justice and Medicare for All, have solidified trader consensus on his momentum from the 2020 near-upset of Amy McGrath and 2022 nomination. McGrath's 11.5% reflects her name recognition from the 2020 general election run and Herald-Leader backing, but trailing polls limit upside. Fragmented fields keep others under 2%, with low-turnout primary dynamics favoring Booker's base mobilization.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCharles Booker 84%
Amy McGrath 11%
Pamela Stevenson 1.1%
Dale Romans 1.0%
$38,439 Vol.
$38,439 Vol.
Charles Booker
84%
Amy McGrath
11%
Pamela Stevenson
1%
Dale Romans
1%
Joel Willett
1%
Jared Randall
1%
Logan Forsythe
<1%
Vincent Thompson
<1%
Charles Booker 84%
Amy McGrath 11%
Pamela Stevenson 1.1%
Dale Romans 1.0%
$38,439 Vol.
$38,439 Vol.
Charles Booker
84%
Amy McGrath
11%
Pamela Stevenson
1%
Dale Romans
1%
Joel Willett
1%
Jared Randall
1%
Logan Forsythe
<1%
Vincent Thompson
<1%
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Charles Booker's 84% implied probability as Kentucky Democratic Senate primary winner stems from his sustained polling lead, including an 18-point edge in the April Emerson College/FOX56 survey and a 34.5% average on RealClearPolling ahead of the May 19 vote. Recent endorsements, such as Our Revolution on May 11 bolstering his grassroots appeal emphasizing economic justice and Medicare for All, have solidified trader consensus on his momentum from the 2020 near-upset of Amy McGrath and 2022 nomination. McGrath's 11.5% reflects her name recognition from the 2020 general election run and Herald-Leader backing, but trailing polls limit upside. Fragmented fields keep others under 2%, with low-turnout primary dynamics favoring Booker's base mobilization.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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