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Élections·Élections Mondiales

Prochain premier ministre du Québec

icon for Prochain premier ministre du Québec
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Prochain premier ministre du Québec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 72%

Charles Milliard 14%

Christine Fréchette 13.2%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$242,804 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 72%

Charles Milliard 14%

Christine Fréchette 13.2%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$242,804 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$17,822 Vol.

72%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$12,169 Vol.

14%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$23,780 Vol.

13%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$58,618 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$48,652 Vol.

<1%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$47,615 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$34,149 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the implied probabilities at 71.5% as leader of the Parti Québécois, which has topped opinion polls for roughly two years and secured multiple byelection victories heading into the October 5, 2026, general election. Traders appear to view the PQ's consistent advantage over the Coalition Avenir Québec, now led by Premier Christine Fréchette at 13.2% after her April leadership win, and the Quebec Liberal Party under Charles Milliard at 14.0% as the dominant factor. Recent outreach by St-Pierre Plamondon to anglophone voters and continued polling leads have reinforced this positioning, while Fréchette's efforts to stabilize CAQ support and Milliard's acclamation have not yet narrowed the gap enough to shift the market consensus significantly.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$242,804
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the implied probabilities at 71.5% as leader of the Parti Québécois, which has topped opinion polls for roughly two years and secured multiple byelection victories heading into the October 5, 2026, general election. Traders appear to view the PQ's consistent advantage over the Coalition Avenir Québec, now led by Premier Christine Fréchette at 13.2% after her April leadership win, and the Quebec Liberal Party under Charles Milliard at 14.0% as the dominant factor. Recent outreach by St-Pierre Plamondon to anglophone voters and continued polling leads have reinforced this positioning, while Fréchette's efforts to stabilize CAQ support and Milliard's acclamation have not yet narrowed the gap enough to shift the market consensus significantly.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$242,804
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Connexes

icon for Le Parti Québécois remportera-t-il le plus de sièges aux élections générales du Québec de 2026 ?

Le Parti Québécois remportera-t-il le plus de sièges aux élections générales du Québec de 2026 ?

71%
Oui
icon for Une autre élection au Canada convoquée d’ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

Une autre élection au Canada convoquée d’ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

6%
Oui
icon for Gadi Eizenkot sera-t-il le prochain premier ministre d'Israël ?

Gadi Eizenkot sera-t-il le prochain premier ministre d'Israël ?

53%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Prochain premier ministre du Québec » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Paul St-Pierre Plamondon » à 72%, suivi de « Charles Milliard » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 72¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 72% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Prochain premier ministre du Québec » a généré $242.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 1, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Prochain premier ministre du Québec », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochain premier ministre du Québec » est « Paul St-Pierre Plamondon » à 72%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 72% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Charles Milliard » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochain premier ministre du Québec » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.