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Politique·Primaire De La Maison

CA-41 Primary Winners

icon for CA-41 Primary Winners
Politique·Primaire De La Maison

CA-41 Primary Winners

NOUVEAU
2 juin 2026
Polymarket

$4,428 Vol.

Polymarket

Linda Sánchez

$2,561 Vol.

96%

Mitch Clemmons

$230 Vol.

89%

Hector De La Torre

$176 Vol.

42%

Shonique Williams

$1,461 Vol.

6%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In California's redrawn 41st Congressional District, now safely Democratic after mid-decade redistricting via Proposition 50, the June 2 top-two primary looms as the key battle among four candidates, with the top two advancing regardless of party. Incumbent Rep. Linda Sánchez (D), relocating from the old 38th District, dominates fundraising with $722,000 cash-on-hand as of late March, far ahead of challenger Hector de la Torre (D) at $433,000 and Shonique Williams (D) at $19,000, while Republican Mitch Clemmons lags with negligible resources. Absent public polls, trader consensus likely favors Sánchez for first place amid Democratic vote consolidation, though splitting could theoretically boost Clemmons in the 56% Harris-leaning district. Early voting since May 4 shows heavy Democratic turnout statewide, with no major developments in the past 30 days beyond campaigning intensity.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,428
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In California's redrawn 41st Congressional District, now safely Democratic after mid-decade redistricting via Proposition 50, the June 2 top-two primary looms as the key battle among four candidates, with the top two advancing regardless of party. Incumbent Rep. Linda Sánchez (D), relocating from the old 38th District, dominates fundraising with $722,000 cash-on-hand as of late March, far ahead of challenger Hector de la Torre (D) at $433,000 and Shonique Williams (D) at $19,000, while Republican Mitch Clemmons lags with negligible resources. Absent public polls, trader consensus likely favors Sánchez for first place amid Democratic vote consolidation, though splitting could theoretically boost Clemmons in the 56% Harris-leaning district. Early voting since May 4 shows heavy Democratic turnout statewide, with no major developments in the past 30 days beyond campaigning intensity.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,428
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« CA-41 Primary Winners » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Linda Sánchez » à 96%, suivi de « Mitch Clemmons » à 89%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 96¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 96% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« CA-41 Primary Winners » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 22, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « CA-41 Primary Winners », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « CA-41 Primary Winners » est « Linda Sánchez » à 96%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 96% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Mitch Clemmons » à 89%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « CA-41 Primary Winners » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.