With Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary just four days away on May 19, trader consensus favors state Rep. Chris Rabb at 56% implied probability, driven by his recent fundraising surge topping rivals and a wave of progressive endorsements including AOC, Democratic Socialists of America, Justice Democrats, and the Philadelphia Inquirer. State Sen. Sharif Street holds at 41% on establishment support from labor unions and the Pennsylvania Democratic Party machine, bolstered by reported Gov. Josh Shapiro coordination to shield moderate rival Dr. Ala Stanford (now at 4.6%) from attacks and consolidate anti-Rabb votes. Recent forums, including CBS Philadelphia interviews this week and an Inquirer records comparison on May 13, have highlighted ideological clashes—Rabb's no-PAC, Medicare for All push versus Street's legislative experience—sharpening the closely contested race in this deep-blue open seat left by retiring Rep. Dwight Evans.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourChris Rabb 54.6%
Sharif Street 42%
Ala Stanford 4.6%
David Oxman <1%
$46,682 Vol.
$46,682 Vol.
Chris Rabb
55%
Sharif Street
42%
Ala Stanford
5%
David Oxman
<1%
Morgan Cephas
<1%
Gabriel Caceres
<1%
Robin Toldens
<1%
Chris Rabb 54.6%
Sharif Street 42%
Ala Stanford 4.6%
David Oxman <1%
$46,682 Vol.
$46,682 Vol.
Chris Rabb
55%
Sharif Street
42%
Ala Stanford
5%
David Oxman
<1%
Morgan Cephas
<1%
Gabriel Caceres
<1%
Robin Toldens
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary just four days away on May 19, trader consensus favors state Rep. Chris Rabb at 56% implied probability, driven by his recent fundraising surge topping rivals and a wave of progressive endorsements including AOC, Democratic Socialists of America, Justice Democrats, and the Philadelphia Inquirer. State Sen. Sharif Street holds at 41% on establishment support from labor unions and the Pennsylvania Democratic Party machine, bolstered by reported Gov. Josh Shapiro coordination to shield moderate rival Dr. Ala Stanford (now at 4.6%) from attacks and consolidate anti-Rabb votes. Recent forums, including CBS Philadelphia interviews this week and an Inquirer records comparison on May 13, have highlighted ideological clashes—Rabb's no-PAC, Medicare for All push versus Street's legislative experience—sharpening the closely contested race in this deep-blue open seat left by retiring Rep. Dwight Evans.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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