James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination in Texas' March primary, defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett, positioning him as the general election challenger to the Republican runoff winner between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26. Trader consensus favors a Talarico-Paxton matchup at 62% implied probability, driven by a May 5 University of Houston poll showing Paxton leading Cornyn 48%-45% among likely GOP primary voters amid low-turnout dynamics that boost Paxton's populist base despite Cornyn's fundraising dominance. Talarico's record $27 million Q1 haul and leads over both Republicans in late-April general election polls underscore his viability, with early voting starting soon potentially swaying the closely contested GOP runoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlections sénatoriales au Texas
Élections sénatoriales au Texas
Talarico & Paxton 63%
Talarico & Cornyn 39%
Crockett & Hunt <1%
Talarico & Hunt <1%
$721,447 Vol.
$721,447 Vol.
3 mars 2026
Talarico & Paxton
63%
Talarico & Cornyn
39%
Crockett & Hunt
<1%
Talarico & Hunt
<1%
Crockett & Paxton
<1%
Crockett et Cornyn
<1%
Autre
<1%
Talarico & Paxton 63%
Talarico & Cornyn 39%
Crockett & Hunt <1%
Talarico & Hunt <1%
$721,447 Vol.
$721,447 Vol.
3 mars 2026
Talarico & Paxton
$275,333 Vol.
63%
Talarico & Cornyn
$197,086 Vol.
39%
Crockett & Hunt
$24,730 Vol.
<1%
Talarico & Hunt
$24,058 Vol.
<1%
Crockett & Paxton
$107,066 Vol.
<1%
Crockett et Cornyn
$65,651 Vol.
<1%
Autre
$27,524 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination in Texas' March primary, defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett, positioning him as the general election challenger to the Republican runoff winner between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26. Trader consensus favors a Talarico-Paxton matchup at 62% implied probability, driven by a May 5 University of Houston poll showing Paxton leading Cornyn 48%-45% among likely GOP primary voters amid low-turnout dynamics that boost Paxton's populist base despite Cornyn's fundraising dominance. Talarico's record $27 million Q1 haul and leads over both Republicans in late-April general election polls underscore his viability, with early voting starting soon potentially swaying the closely contested GOP runoff.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Volume
$721,447Date de fin
3 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination in Texas' March primary, defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett, positioning him as the general election challenger to the Republican runoff winner between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26. Trader consensus favors a Talarico-Paxton matchup at 62% implied probability, driven by a May 5 University of Houston poll showing Paxton leading Cornyn 48%-45% among likely GOP primary voters amid low-turnout dynamics that boost Paxton's populist base despite Cornyn's fundraising dominance. Talarico's record $27 million Q1 haul and leads over both Republicans in late-April general election polls underscore his viability, with early voting starting soon potentially swaying the closely contested GOP runoff.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$721,447Date de fin
3 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination in Texas' March primary, defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett, positioning him as the general election challenger to the Republican runoff winner between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26. Trader consensus favors a Talarico-Paxton matchup at 62% implied probability, driven by a May 5 University of Houston poll showing Paxton leading Cornyn 48%-45% among likely GOP primary voters amid low-turnout dynamics that boost Paxton's populist base despite Cornyn's fundraising dominance. Talarico's record $27 million Q1 haul and leads over both Republicans in late-April general election polls underscore his viability, with early voting starting soon potentially swaying the closely contested GOP runoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes