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Politique·Récompenses

Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026

icon for Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026
Politique·Récompenses

Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026

Yulia Navalnaya 8%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 5.7%

UNRWA 4.3%

Pope Leo XIV 3.1%

Polymarket

$23,386,197 Vol.

Yulia Navalnaya 8%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 5.7%

UNRWA 4.3%

Pope Leo XIV 3.1%

Polymarket

$23,386,197 Vol.

icon for Yulia Navalnaya

Yulia Navalnaya

$290,593 Vol.

8%

icon for Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$790,383 Vol.

6%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$2,044,316 Vol.

4%

icon for Pope Leo XIV

Pope Leo XIV

$811,759 Vol.

3%

icon for La Cour internationale de Justice

La Cour internationale de Justice

$904,328 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$4,346,266 Vol.

2%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$782,546 Vol.

2%

icon for Julian Assange

Julian Assange

$849,595 Vol.

1%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$685,776 Vol.

1%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,452,345 Vol.

1%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,261,796 Vol.

1%

icon for Titre de l’élément de groupe : António Guterres

Titre de l’élément de groupe : António Guterres

$627,530 Vol.

1%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,434,006 Vol.

1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$866,184 Vol.

1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$1,053,661 Vol.

<1%

icon for Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

$692,212 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,172,690 Vol.

<1%

icon for Charlie Kirk

Charlie Kirk

$1,244,883 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$1,170,989 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Poutine

Vladimir Poutine

$904,338 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.The fragmented field of 287 nominees and the Nobel Committee's opaque selection process drive the low, dispersed odds, with no dominant frontrunner emerging months ahead of the October announcement. Yulia Navalnaya holds the top spot at 8% implied probability due to her high-profile advocacy and symbolic role following Alexei Navalny's death, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy's 5.7% reflects ongoing nominations tied to Ukraine's defense against Russian aggression. Organizational entries like UNRWA and the International Court of Justice capture trader bets on institutional peacebuilding, contrasting with individual longshots such as Pope Leo XIV or Donald Trump, whose nominations have sparked buzz but face historical barriers. Competitive dynamics hinge on late-breaking global developments or precursor signals that could consolidate support in this unpredictable awards cycle.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$23,386,197
Date de fin
10 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.The fragmented field of 287 nominees and the Nobel Committee's opaque selection process drive the low, dispersed odds, with no dominant frontrunner emerging months ahead of the October announcement. Yulia Navalnaya holds the top spot at 8% implied probability due to her high-profile advocacy and symbolic role following Alexei Navalny's death, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy's 5.7% reflects ongoing nominations tied to Ukraine's defense against Russian aggression. Organizational entries like UNRWA and the International Court of Justice capture trader bets on institutional peacebuilding, contrasting with individual longshots such as Pope Leo XIV or Donald Trump, whose nominations have sparked buzz but face historical barriers. Competitive dynamics hinge on late-breaking global developments or precursor signals that could consolidate support in this unpredictable awards cycle.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$23,386,197
Date de fin
10 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Connexes

icon for Trump, Poutine et Zelensky vus ensemble avant 2027 ?

Trump, Poutine et Zelensky vus ensemble avant 2027 ?

6%
Oui
icon for Trump, Poutine et Zelensky se rencontreront-ils ensemble avant 2027 ?

Trump, Poutine et Zelensky se rencontreront-ils ensemble avant 2027 ?

6%
Oui
icon for Josh Allen va-t-il remporter le titre de MVP de la NFL en 2026 ?

Josh Allen va-t-il remporter le titre de MVP de la NFL en 2026 ?

13%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 20 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Yulia Navalnaya » à 8%, suivi de « Volodymyr Zelenskyy » à 6%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 8¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 8% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 » a généré $23.4 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 16, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 », parcourez les 20 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 » est « Yulia Navalnaya » à seulement 8%, avec « Volodymyr Zelenskyy » juste derrière à 6%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.