Trader consensus assigns Arman Tsarukyan the strongest implied probability at 60.3 percent, driven by his direct callout of Oliveira following the latter’s unanimous decision victory over Max Holloway for the BMF title at UFC 326 in March. That March win, combined with Oliveira’s subsequent eight-fight contract extension, has accelerated matchmaking talks, and Tsarukyan’s prior near-submission loss at UFC 300 supplies a natural stylistic rematch narrative. Benoît Saint Denis sits at 30.4 percent on the strength of his recent finishing ability and lightweight contender status, while Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett trail at 15.8 and 15.4 percent respectively amid their own title-path positioning. No official booking has been announced, leaving room for late roster shifts or injury news to influence final probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBenoît Saint Denis 30.5%
Paddy Pimblett 15.1%
Ilia Topuria 11.0%
Justin Gaethje 8.8%
$29,494 Vol.
$29,494 Vol.
Benoît Saint Denis
31%
Paddy Pimblett
15%
Ilia Topuria
11%
Justin Gaethje
9%
Conor McGregor
6%
Maurício Ruffy
5%
Dan Hooker
4%
Islam Makhachev
1%
Mateusz Gamrot
1%
Arman Tsarukyan
61%
Benoît Saint Denis 30.5%
Paddy Pimblett 15.1%
Ilia Topuria 11.0%
Justin Gaethje 8.8%
$29,494 Vol.
$29,494 Vol.
Benoît Saint Denis
31%
Paddy Pimblett
15%
Ilia Topuria
11%
Justin Gaethje
9%
Conor McGregor
6%
Maurício Ruffy
5%
Dan Hooker
4%
Islam Makhachev
1%
Mateusz Gamrot
1%
Arman Tsarukyan
61%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Marché ouvert : Mar 6, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns Arman Tsarukyan the strongest implied probability at 60.3 percent, driven by his direct callout of Oliveira following the latter’s unanimous decision victory over Max Holloway for the BMF title at UFC 326 in March. That March win, combined with Oliveira’s subsequent eight-fight contract extension, has accelerated matchmaking talks, and Tsarukyan’s prior near-submission loss at UFC 300 supplies a natural stylistic rematch narrative. Benoît Saint Denis sits at 30.4 percent on the strength of his recent finishing ability and lightweight contender status, while Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett trail at 15.8 and 15.4 percent respectively amid their own title-path positioning. No official booking has been announced, leaving room for late roster shifts or injury news to influence final probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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