Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has insisted that any peace deal with Russia requires voter approval via national referendum following a ceasefire to ensure legitimacy, but no such vote has been scheduled as of mid-May 2026. Trader consensus reflects stalled trilateral peace negotiations, with February Geneva talks ending abruptly without breakthroughs on territorial disputes like Donbas control and security guarantees. US pressure under the Trump administration for a swift resolution—including potential elections alongside a referendum by May—has waned amid Russian demands and ongoing frontline fighting. No notable diplomatic advances in the past 30 days; upcoming US-facilitated talks could shift dynamics, though military escalation remains a key barrier.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRéférendum de paix en Ukraine prévu par... ?
Référendum de paix en Ukraine prévu par... ?
$432,245 Vol.
30 juin
6%
September 30
13%
December 31
22%
$432,245 Vol.
30 juin
6%
September 30
13%
December 31
22%
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 29, 2025, 1:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has insisted that any peace deal with Russia requires voter approval via national referendum following a ceasefire to ensure legitimacy, but no such vote has been scheduled as of mid-May 2026. Trader consensus reflects stalled trilateral peace negotiations, with February Geneva talks ending abruptly without breakthroughs on territorial disputes like Donbas control and security guarantees. US pressure under the Trump administration for a swift resolution—including potential elections alongside a referendum by May—has waned amid Russian demands and ongoing frontline fighting. No notable diplomatic advances in the past 30 days; upcoming US-facilitated talks could shift dynamics, though military escalation remains a key barrier.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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