Trader consensus reflects a 77.5% implied probability for "No" on a Ukraine peace referendum before 2027, driven by stalled U.S.-brokered negotiations with Russia and no scheduled vote despite President Zelenskyy's February announcements tying it to presidential elections. A brief three-day ceasefire mediated May 9-11 yielded no breakthroughs, while recent reports describe talks as "dead" amid Ukraine's preparations for prolonged conflict. Constitutional bans on referendums during martial law, NGO declarations deeming the idea unlawful, and Russia's rejection of Zelenskyy's May 6 silence regime proposal underscore structural and diplomatic barriers. Polls indicate public openness to peace compromises, but absent de-escalation signals or a viable deal, traders anticipate no vote materializes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRéférendum de paix en Ukraine passé avant 2027 ?
Référendum de paix en Ukraine passé avant 2027 ?
Oui
$14,058 Vol.
$14,058 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$14,058 Vol.
$14,058 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 77.5% implied probability for "No" on a Ukraine peace referendum before 2027, driven by stalled U.S.-brokered negotiations with Russia and no scheduled vote despite President Zelenskyy's February announcements tying it to presidential elections. A brief three-day ceasefire mediated May 9-11 yielded no breakthroughs, while recent reports describe talks as "dead" amid Ukraine's preparations for prolonged conflict. Constitutional bans on referendums during martial law, NGO declarations deeming the idea unlawful, and Russia's rejection of Zelenskyy's May 6 silence regime proposal underscore structural and diplomatic barriers. Polls indicate public openness to peace compromises, but absent de-escalation signals or a viable deal, traders anticipate no vote materializes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Volume
$14,058Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 77.5% implied probability for "No" on a Ukraine peace referendum before 2027, driven by stalled U.S.-brokered negotiations with Russia and no scheduled vote despite President Zelenskyy's February announcements tying it to presidential elections. A brief three-day ceasefire mediated May 9-11 yielded no breakthroughs, while recent reports describe talks as "dead" amid Ukraine's preparations for prolonged conflict. Constitutional bans on referendums during martial law, NGO declarations deeming the idea unlawful, and Russia's rejection of Zelenskyy's May 6 silence regime proposal underscore structural and diplomatic barriers. Polls indicate public openness to peace compromises, but absent de-escalation signals or a viable deal, traders anticipate no vote materializes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,129Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 77.5% implied probability for "No" on a Ukraine peace referendum before 2027, driven by stalled U.S.-brokered negotiations with Russia and no scheduled vote despite President Zelenskyy's February announcements tying it to presidential elections. A brief three-day ceasefire mediated May 9-11 yielded no breakthroughs, while recent reports describe talks as "dead" amid Ukraine's preparations for prolonged conflict. Constitutional bans on referendums during martial law, NGO declarations deeming the idea unlawful, and Russia's rejection of Zelenskyy's May 6 silence regime proposal underscore structural and diplomatic barriers. Polls indicate public openness to peace compromises, but absent de-escalation signals or a viable deal, traders anticipate no vote materializes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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