Russia and Ukraine have seen no formal bilateral peace talks since early 2026 trilateral sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva, which produced only limited prisoner exchanges amid persistent disagreements over territorial control, Ukrainian neutrality, security guarantees, and sanctions relief. The Kremlin stated in mid-July that it sees no immediate prospects for resuming negotiations despite openness to the idea and Turkish facilitation offers. Earlier efforts, including Zelenskyy’s June open letter proposing direct leader-level talks and temporary ceasefires around Orthodox Easter and Victory Day, collapsed without agreement. Recent battlefield developments, such as stalled Russian advances and Ukrainian deep strikes, alongside continued U.S. mediation under the Trump administration, remain the main variables that could shift momentum toward or away from new diplomatic engagement in the coming months.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$284,981 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
30 septembre
35%
31 décembre
62%
$284,981 Vol.
30 septembre
$150,634 Vol.
35%
31 décembre
$115,634 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Russia and Ukraine have seen no formal bilateral peace talks since early 2026 trilateral sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva, which produced only limited prisoner exchanges amid persistent disagreements over territorial control, Ukrainian neutrality, security guarantees, and sanctions relief. The Kremlin stated in mid-July that it sees no immediate prospects for resuming negotiations despite openness to the idea and Turkish facilitation offers. Earlier efforts, including Zelenskyy’s June open letter proposing direct leader-level talks and temporary ceasefires around Orthodox Easter and Victory Day, collapsed without agreement. Recent battlefield developments, such as stalled Russian advances and Ukrainian deep strikes, alongside continued U.S. mediation under the Trump administration, remain the main variables that could shift momentum toward or away from new diplomatic engagement in the coming months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Volume
$284,981Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Russia and Ukraine have seen no formal bilateral peace talks since early 2026 trilateral sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva, which produced only limited prisoner exchanges amid persistent disagreements over territorial control, Ukrainian neutrality, security guarantees, and sanctions relief. The Kremlin stated in mid-July that it sees no immediate prospects for resuming negotiations despite openness to the idea and Turkish facilitation offers. Earlier efforts, including Zelenskyy’s June open letter proposing direct leader-level talks and temporary ceasefires around Orthodox Easter and Victory Day, collapsed without agreement. Recent battlefield developments, such as stalled Russian advances and Ukrainian deep strikes, alongside continued U.S. mediation under the Trump administration, remain the main variables that could shift momentum toward or away from new diplomatic engagement in the coming months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$284,981Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia and Ukraine have seen no formal bilateral peace talks since early 2026 trilateral sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva, which produced only limited prisoner exchanges amid persistent disagreements over territorial control, Ukrainian neutrality, security guarantees, and sanctions relief. The Kremlin stated in mid-July that it sees no immediate prospects for resuming negotiations despite openness to the idea and Turkish facilitation offers. Earlier efforts, including Zelenskyy’s June open letter proposing direct leader-level talks and temporary ceasefires around Orthodox Easter and Victory Day, collapsed without agreement. Recent battlefield developments, such as stalled Russian advances and Ukrainian deep strikes, alongside continued U.S. mediation under the Trump administration, remain the main variables that could shift momentum toward or away from new diplomatic engagement in the coming months.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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