**Recent US-led sanctions intensification and naval blockade measures have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports, contributing to sustained free-market rial depreciation into the 2.3 million IRR per USD range by mid-September 2026.** Heightened fiscal pressures, elevated inflation near 60-90% annualized, and reduced access to foreign currency have reinforced trader expectations that the rate will remain within the 2.2-2.5 million band at month-end. The 64.5% consensus on this outcome reflects the ongoing impact of export restrictions and limited near-term diplomatic offsets, while lower-probability higher ranges account for potential further escalation or policy shifts. Current street rates near 2.3 million align closely with this positioning ahead of the September 30 resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour2,2 à 2,5M 65%
2,5 à 2,8 M 20%
<2,2M 11%
2,8 à 3,1M 4.3%
$26,697 Vol.
$26,697 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
<2,2M
11%
2,2 à 2,5M
65%
2,5 à 2,8 M
20%
2,8 à 3,1M
4%
3,1M+
2%
2,2 à 2,5M 65%
2,5 à 2,8 M 20%
<2,2M 11%
2,8 à 3,1M 4.3%
$26,697 Vol.
$26,697 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
<2,2M
$4,413 Vol.
11%
2,2 à 2,5M
$6,777 Vol.
65%
2,5 à 2,8 M
$11,080 Vol.
20%
2,8 à 3,1M
$2,875 Vol.
4%
3,1M+
$1,552 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Recent US-led sanctions intensification and naval blockade measures have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports, contributing to sustained free-market rial depreciation into the 2.3 million IRR per USD range by mid-September 2026.** Heightened fiscal pressures, elevated inflation near 60-90% annualized, and reduced access to foreign currency have reinforced trader expectations that the rate will remain within the 2.2-2.5 million band at month-end. The 64.5% consensus on this outcome reflects the ongoing impact of export restrictions and limited near-term diplomatic offsets, while lower-probability higher ranges account for potential further escalation or policy shifts. Current street rates near 2.3 million align closely with this positioning ahead of the September 30 resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
Volume
$26,697Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Recent US-led sanctions intensification and naval blockade measures have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports, contributing to sustained free-market rial depreciation into the 2.3 million IRR per USD range by mid-September 2026.** Heightened fiscal pressures, elevated inflation near 60-90% annualized, and reduced access to foreign currency have reinforced trader expectations that the rate will remain within the 2.2-2.5 million band at month-end. The 64.5% consensus on this outcome reflects the ongoing impact of export restrictions and limited near-term diplomatic offsets, while lower-probability higher ranges account for potential further escalation or policy shifts. Current street rates near 2.3 million align closely with this positioning ahead of the September 30 resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$26,697Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Recent US-led sanctions intensification and naval blockade measures have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports, contributing to sustained free-market rial depreciation into the 2.3 million IRR per USD range by mid-September 2026.** Heightened fiscal pressures, elevated inflation near 60-90% annualized, and reduced access to foreign currency have reinforced trader expectations that the rate will remain within the 2.2-2.5 million band at month-end. The 64.5% consensus on this outcome reflects the ongoing impact of export restrictions and limited near-term diplomatic offsets, while lower-probability higher ranges account for potential further escalation or policy shifts. Current street rates near 2.3 million align closely with this positioning ahead of the September 30 resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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