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Politique·Danemark

Quelles parties feront partie du prochain gouvernement du Danemark ?

icon for Quelles parties feront partie du prochain gouvernement du Danemark ?
Politique·Danemark

Quelles parties feront partie du prochain gouvernement du Danemark ?

$125,238 Vol.

24 mars 2026
Polymarket

$125,238 Vol.

Polymarket

Moderates

$4,811 Vol.

94%

Sociaux-démocrates

$4,269 Vol.

82%

Danish Social Liberal Party

$2,288 Vol.

80%

Parti populaire socialiste

$41,193 Vol.

52%

Venstre

$17,018 Vol.

38%

Parti populaire conservateur

$543 Vol.

22%

Alliance Libérale

$10,126 Vol.

11%

Parti du peuple danois

$5,056 Vol.

6%

Naleraq

$1,516 Vol.

8%

Parti de l'Union

$7,261 Vol.

4%

Red–Green Alliance

$2,502 Vol.

22%

L'Alternative

$4,201 Vol.

2%

Citizens’ Party

$3,352 Vol.

2%

Démocrates du Danemark

$5,796 Vol.

2%

Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)

$13,878 Vol.

1%

Inuit Ataqatigiit

$1,426 Vol.

<1%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's March 24, 2026, parliamentary election produced a fragmented Folketing with no bloc securing a majority among 179 seats, leaving the incumbent Social Democrats-led coalition without enough support to continue. After seven weeks of unsuccessful center-left negotiations, King Frederik X on May 8 tasked Venstre leader and Defence Minister Troels Lund Poulsen with exploring a center-right government, shifting focus to potential participation by parties including Venstre, Liberal Alliance, Conservatives, Moderates, and Danish People's Party. Lars Løkke Rasmussen's Moderates hold pivotal seats that could determine whether a stable majority coalition forms or requires broader cross-bloc deals. Ongoing talks, with a reported two-week horizon, remain the dominant factor shaping trader views on which parties will join the next administration.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Volume
$125,238
Date de fin
24 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's March 24, 2026, parliamentary election produced a fragmented Folketing with no bloc securing a majority among 179 seats, leaving the incumbent Social Democrats-led coalition without enough support to continue. After seven weeks of unsuccessful center-left negotiations, King Frederik X on May 8 tasked Venstre leader and Defence Minister Troels Lund Poulsen with exploring a center-right government, shifting focus to potential participation by parties including Venstre, Liberal Alliance, Conservatives, Moderates, and Danish People's Party. Lars Løkke Rasmussen's Moderates hold pivotal seats that could determine whether a stable majority coalition forms or requires broader cross-bloc deals. Ongoing talks, with a reported two-week horizon, remain the dominant factor shaping trader views on which parties will join the next administration.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Volume
$125,238
Date de fin
24 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.

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Questions fréquentes

« Quelles parties feront partie du prochain gouvernement du Danemark ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 16 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Moderates » à 94%, suivi de « Sociaux-démocrates » à 82%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 94¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 94% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Quelles parties feront partie du prochain gouvernement du Danemark ? » a généré $125.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 13, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Quelles parties feront partie du prochain gouvernement du Danemark ? », parcourez les 16 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Quelles parties feront partie du prochain gouvernement du Danemark ? » est « Moderates » à 94%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 94% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Sociaux-démocrates » à 82%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quelles parties feront partie du prochain gouvernement du Danemark ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.