President Trump's renewed push for U.S. acquisition of Greenland has centered on national security and Arctic resource interests since his 2024 reelection, with early 2026 statements referencing military options and potential tariffs on Denmark. However, Danish and Greenlandic officials have consistently rejected any transfer of sovereignty, and Trump reversed course at the January 2026 Davos summit by explicitly ruling out force while calling for immediate negotiations and citing a preliminary framework agreement. No formal purchase, compact of free association, or other transfer mechanism has advanced through required approvals in Copenhagen or Nuuk. These diplomatic and legal barriers, alongside historical precedent against involuntary territorial changes, underpin traders' strong consensus that acquisition remains improbable before the 2027 resolution date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$33,122,860 Vol.
$33,122,860 Vol.
Oui
$33,122,860 Vol.
$33,122,860 Vol.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's renewed push for U.S. acquisition of Greenland has centered on national security and Arctic resource interests since his 2024 reelection, with early 2026 statements referencing military options and potential tariffs on Denmark. However, Danish and Greenlandic officials have consistently rejected any transfer of sovereignty, and Trump reversed course at the January 2026 Davos summit by explicitly ruling out force while calling for immediate negotiations and citing a preliminary framework agreement. No formal purchase, compact of free association, or other transfer mechanism has advanced through required approvals in Copenhagen or Nuuk. These diplomatic and legal barriers, alongside historical precedent against involuntary territorial changes, underpin traders' strong consensus that acquisition remains improbable before the 2027 resolution date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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