Trump's renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland since 2025 has produced tariffs on Denmark, a special envoy appointment, and diplomatic overtures, yet Danish and Greenlandic officials have repeatedly rejected any sale or transfer, citing self-determination and strong local opposition. NATO alliance constraints and statements ruling out military force have further limited options, leaving negotiations without progress as of mid-2026. With less than five months remaining before the 2027 cutoff, traders see these entrenched diplomatic barriers and lack of breakthroughs as decisive. A late-stage compact of free association or major geopolitical concession could still shift the outcome, though such developments remain improbable given current positions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
4% chance
$35,269,766 Vol.
$35,269,766 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
4% chance
$35,269,766 Vol.
$35,269,766 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trump's renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland since 2025 has produced tariffs on Denmark, a special envoy appointment, and diplomatic overtures, yet Danish and Greenlandic officials have repeatedly rejected any sale or transfer, citing self-determination and strong local opposition. NATO alliance constraints and statements ruling out military force have further limited options, leaving negotiations without progress as of mid-2026. With less than five months remaining before the 2027 cutoff, traders see these entrenched diplomatic barriers and lack of breakthroughs as decisive. A late-stage compact of free association or major geopolitical concession could still shift the outcome, though such developments remain improbable given current positions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Volume
$35,269,766Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trump's renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland since 2025 has produced tariffs on Denmark, a special envoy appointment, and diplomatic overtures, yet Danish and Greenlandic officials have repeatedly rejected any sale or transfer, citing self-determination and strong local opposition. NATO alliance constraints and statements ruling out military force have further limited options, leaving negotiations without progress as of mid-2026. With less than five months remaining before the 2027 cutoff, traders see these entrenched diplomatic barriers and lack of breakthroughs as decisive. A late-stage compact of free association or major geopolitical concession could still shift the outcome, though such developments remain improbable given current positions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volume
$35,269,766Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland since 2025 has produced tariffs on Denmark, a special envoy appointment, and diplomatic overtures, yet Danish and Greenlandic officials have repeatedly rejected any sale or transfer, citing self-determination and strong local opposition. NATO alliance constraints and statements ruling out military force have further limited options, leaving negotiations without progress as of mid-2026. With less than five months remaining before the 2027 cutoff, traders see these entrenched diplomatic barriers and lack of breakthroughs as decisive. A late-stage compact of free association or major geopolitical concession could still shift the outcome, though such developments remain improbable given current positions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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