**Trump's renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland, an autonomous Danish territory, has generated intense diplomatic friction but little concrete progress toward full acquisition.** Since early 2025, the administration has cited Arctic security concerns involving Russia and China, explored purchase options or a Compact of Free Association, and floated tariffs or other leverage. These efforts peaked with January 2026 threats of 10-25% tariffs on several European NATO allies and initial refusal to rule out military force. Danish and Greenlandic leaders have consistently rejected any sale or transfer of sovereignty, describing the territory as "not for sale" and emphasizing self-determination. Following a January 2026 Davos meeting with NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte, Trump walked back tariffs and force rhetoric, announcing only a vague "framework" for broader Arctic cooperation that appears to exclude outright ownership transfer. As of mid-2026, no agreement for full U.S. acquisition has materialized, negotiations remain stalled on core sovereignty issues, and structural barriers—including allied opposition, international norms, and the absence of Danish consent—continue to constrain near-term outcomes. Traders assign just a 6% implied chance of success before 2027, consistent with these entrenched obstacles and the absence of recent breakthroughs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$34,156,417 Vol.
$34,156,417 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
$34,156,417 Vol.
$34,156,417 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.**Trump's renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland, an autonomous Danish territory, has generated intense diplomatic friction but little concrete progress toward full acquisition.** Since early 2025, the administration has cited Arctic security concerns involving Russia and China, explored purchase options or a Compact of Free Association, and floated tariffs or other leverage. These efforts peaked with January 2026 threats of 10-25% tariffs on several European NATO allies and initial refusal to rule out military force.
Danish and Greenlandic leaders have consistently rejected any sale or transfer of sovereignty, describing the territory as "not for sale" and emphasizing self-determination. Following a January 2026 Davos meeting with NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte, Trump walked back tariffs and force rhetoric, announcing only a vague "framework" for broader Arctic cooperation that appears to exclude outright ownership transfer. As of mid-2026, no agreement for full U.S. acquisition has materialized, negotiations remain stalled on core sovereignty issues, and structural barriers—including allied opposition, international norms, and the absence of Danish consent—continue to constrain near-term outcomes. Traders assign just a 6% implied chance of success before 2027, consistent with these entrenched obstacles and the absence of recent breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Volume
$34,156,417Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.**Trump's renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland, an autonomous Danish territory, has generated intense diplomatic friction but little concrete progress toward full acquisition.** Since early 2025, the administration has cited Arctic security concerns involving Russia and China, explored purchase options or a Compact of Free Association, and floated tariffs or other leverage. These efforts peaked with January 2026 threats of 10-25% tariffs on several European NATO allies and initial refusal to rule out military force.
Danish and Greenlandic leaders have consistently rejected any sale or transfer of sovereignty, describing the territory as "not for sale" and emphasizing self-determination. Following a January 2026 Davos meeting with NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte, Trump walked back tariffs and force rhetoric, announcing only a vague "framework" for broader Arctic cooperation that appears to exclude outright ownership transfer. As of mid-2026, no agreement for full U.S. acquisition has materialized, negotiations remain stalled on core sovereignty issues, and structural barriers—including allied opposition, international norms, and the absence of Danish consent—continue to constrain near-term outcomes. Traders assign just a 6% implied chance of success before 2027, consistent with these entrenched obstacles and the absence of recent breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volume
$34,156,438Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trump's renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland, an autonomous Danish territory, has generated intense diplomatic friction but little concrete progress toward full acquisition.** Since early 2025, the administration has cited Arctic security concerns involving Russia and China, explored purchase options or a Compact of Free Association, and floated tariffs or other leverage. These efforts peaked with January 2026 threats of 10-25% tariffs on several European NATO allies and initial refusal to rule out military force. Danish and Greenlandic leaders have consistently rejected any sale or transfer of sovereignty, describing the territory as "not for sale" and emphasizing self-determination. Following a January 2026 Davos meeting with NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte, Trump walked back tariffs and force rhetoric, announcing only a vague "framework" for broader Arctic cooperation that appears to exclude outright ownership transfer. As of mid-2026, no agreement for full U.S. acquisition has materialized, negotiations remain stalled on core sovereignty issues, and structural barriers—including allied opposition, international norms, and the absence of Danish consent—continue to constrain near-term outcomes. Traders assign just a 6% implied chance of success before 2027, consistent with these entrenched obstacles and the absence of recent breakthroughs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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