Tom Aspinall holds the undisputed UFC Heavyweight title but remains sidelined by an eye injury sustained in late 2025, creating a temporary vacancy that has sparked interim title contention and opened doors for multiple contenders. Recent developments include Alex Pereira’s scheduled heavyweight debut against Ciryl Gane and a series of summer bouts involving Serghei Spivac, Waldo Cortes-Acosta, and Sergei Pavlovich, all of which could reshape the rankings. This injury-driven limbo, combined with the division’s overall depth and lack of a clear long-term frontrunner through 2026, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered among the top names as traders weigh recovery timelines, potential title fights, and the risk of further upsets or roster changes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJailton Almeida 40.7%
Derrick Lewis 39.6%
Ciryl Gane 39%
Sergei Pavlovich 38.6%
$97,750 Vol.
$97,750 Vol.
Jailton Almeida
41%
Derrick Lewis
40%
Ciryl Gane
35%
Sergei Pavlovich
39%
Alexander Volkov
10%
Marcin Tybura
1%
Curtis Blaydes
<1%
Tom Aspinall
38%
Serghei Spivac
46%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
41%
Ante Delija
43%
Jailton Almeida 40.7%
Derrick Lewis 39.6%
Ciryl Gane 39%
Sergei Pavlovich 38.6%
$97,750 Vol.
$97,750 Vol.
Jailton Almeida
41%
Derrick Lewis
40%
Ciryl Gane
35%
Sergei Pavlovich
39%
Alexander Volkov
10%
Marcin Tybura
1%
Curtis Blaydes
<1%
Tom Aspinall
38%
Serghei Spivac
46%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
41%
Ante Delija
43%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Aspinall holds the undisputed UFC Heavyweight title but remains sidelined by an eye injury sustained in late 2025, creating a temporary vacancy that has sparked interim title contention and opened doors for multiple contenders. Recent developments include Alex Pereira’s scheduled heavyweight debut against Ciryl Gane and a series of summer bouts involving Serghei Spivac, Waldo Cortes-Acosta, and Sergei Pavlovich, all of which could reshape the rankings. This injury-driven limbo, combined with the division’s overall depth and lack of a clear long-term frontrunner through 2026, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered among the top names as traders weigh recovery timelines, potential title fights, and the risk of further upsets or roster changes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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