Traders assign a 97.4% probability that no new country will join the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of active, advanced bilateral negotiations or scheduled signings capable of producing formal normalization in the remaining window. Major candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to link any agreement to Palestinian statehood issues or broader U.S. security arrangements, while other prospects like Syria, Lebanon, or additional Central Asian states face ongoing regional tensions and require extended diplomatic processes. Formal accessions typically involve public ceremonies, U.S. facilitation, and preparatory agreements that historically unfold over months rather than weeks. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unexpected low-profile breakthrough with a smaller state or a rapid symbolic pledge, though no verified developments currently indicate such momentum before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
3% chance
$53,711 Vol.
$53,711 Vol.
31 août 2026
Oui
3% chance
$53,711 Vol.
$53,711 Vol.
31 août 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 97.4% probability that no new country will join the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of active, advanced bilateral negotiations or scheduled signings capable of producing formal normalization in the remaining window. Major candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to link any agreement to Palestinian statehood issues or broader U.S. security arrangements, while other prospects like Syria, Lebanon, or additional Central Asian states face ongoing regional tensions and require extended diplomatic processes. Formal accessions typically involve public ceremonies, U.S. facilitation, and preparatory agreements that historically unfold over months rather than weeks. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unexpected low-profile breakthrough with a smaller state or a rapid symbolic pledge, though no verified developments currently indicate such momentum before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Volume
$53,711Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 97.4% probability that no new country will join the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of active, advanced bilateral negotiations or scheduled signings capable of producing formal normalization in the remaining window. Major candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to link any agreement to Palestinian statehood issues or broader U.S. security arrangements, while other prospects like Syria, Lebanon, or additional Central Asian states face ongoing regional tensions and require extended diplomatic processes. Formal accessions typically involve public ceremonies, U.S. facilitation, and preparatory agreements that historically unfold over months rather than weeks. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unexpected low-profile breakthrough with a smaller state or a rapid symbolic pledge, though no verified developments currently indicate such momentum before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,711Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 97.4% probability that no new country will join the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of active, advanced bilateral negotiations or scheduled signings capable of producing formal normalization in the remaining window. Major candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to link any agreement to Palestinian statehood issues or broader U.S. security arrangements, while other prospects like Syria, Lebanon, or additional Central Asian states face ongoing regional tensions and require extended diplomatic processes. Formal accessions typically involve public ceremonies, U.S. facilitation, and preparatory agreements that historically unfold over months rather than weeks. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unexpected low-profile breakthrough with a smaller state or a rapid symbolic pledge, though no verified developments currently indicate such momentum before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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