**Recent developments show limited momentum for new Abraham Accords signatories before 2027.** Kazakhstan formalized accession in November 2025 during a White House summit, followed by Somaliland’s pledge after Israel’s December 2025 recognition, yet these steps largely formalized preexisting ties rather than expanding the core framework. Major candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state, a stance reiterated amid U.S. diplomatic pushes tied to Iran-related talks in 2026. Syria’s interim leadership has signaled it will not join, citing distinct bilateral tensions, while other Arab and Muslim-majority states have responded to U.S. appeals with silence or skepticism. With only months remaining until 2027 and persistent regional frictions, trader consensus at 76.8% for “No” reflects these structural barriers and the absence of confirmed near-term breakthroughs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourUn nouveau pays rejoindra-t-il les Accords d'Abraham avant 2027 ?
Un nouveau pays rejoindra-t-il les Accords d'Abraham avant 2027 ?
Oui
23% chance
$272,665 Vol.
$272,665 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
23% chance
$272,665 Vol.
$272,665 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Recent developments show limited momentum for new Abraham Accords signatories before 2027.** Kazakhstan formalized accession in November 2025 during a White House summit, followed by Somaliland’s pledge after Israel’s December 2025 recognition, yet these steps largely formalized preexisting ties rather than expanding the core framework. Major candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state, a stance reiterated amid U.S. diplomatic pushes tied to Iran-related talks in 2026. Syria’s interim leadership has signaled it will not join, citing distinct bilateral tensions, while other Arab and Muslim-majority states have responded to U.S. appeals with silence or skepticism. With only months remaining until 2027 and persistent regional frictions, trader consensus at 76.8% for “No” reflects these structural barriers and the absence of confirmed near-term breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$272,665Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Recent developments show limited momentum for new Abraham Accords signatories before 2027.** Kazakhstan formalized accession in November 2025 during a White House summit, followed by Somaliland’s pledge after Israel’s December 2025 recognition, yet these steps largely formalized preexisting ties rather than expanding the core framework. Major candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state, a stance reiterated amid U.S. diplomatic pushes tied to Iran-related talks in 2026. Syria’s interim leadership has signaled it will not join, citing distinct bilateral tensions, while other Arab and Muslim-majority states have responded to U.S. appeals with silence or skepticism. With only months remaining until 2027 and persistent regional frictions, trader consensus at 76.8% for “No” reflects these structural barriers and the absence of confirmed near-term breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$272,665Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent developments show limited momentum for new Abraham Accords signatories before 2027.** Kazakhstan formalized accession in November 2025 during a White House summit, followed by Somaliland’s pledge after Israel’s December 2025 recognition, yet these steps largely formalized preexisting ties rather than expanding the core framework. Major candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state, a stance reiterated amid U.S. diplomatic pushes tied to Iran-related talks in 2026. Syria’s interim leadership has signaled it will not join, citing distinct bilateral tensions, while other Arab and Muslim-majority states have responded to U.S. appeals with silence or skepticism. With only months remaining until 2027 and persistent regional frictions, trader consensus at 76.8% for “No” reflects these structural barriers and the absence of confirmed near-term breakthroughs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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