Recent confirmations from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and supply-chain reports have solidified trader sentiment around an 84.5% implied probability for a yes outcome, as Apple remains on track for a September 2026 launch of its first foldable iPhone alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Minor engineering and production snags pushed mass production from June to early August, yet credible sources indicate Apple can still meet a fall 2026 release window without slipping into 2027. These developments outweigh earlier concerns about hinge durability and display issues, reflecting the company's history of compressing timelines for premium hardware launches. Key catalysts ahead include any final supply-chain updates or announcements at Apple's expected fall event that could further lock in availability before the end of next year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$161,393 Vol.
$161,393 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$161,393 Vol.
$161,393 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confirmations from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and supply-chain reports have solidified trader sentiment around an 84.5% implied probability for a yes outcome, as Apple remains on track for a September 2026 launch of its first foldable iPhone alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Minor engineering and production snags pushed mass production from June to early August, yet credible sources indicate Apple can still meet a fall 2026 release window without slipping into 2027. These developments outweigh earlier concerns about hinge durability and display issues, reflecting the company's history of compressing timelines for premium hardware launches. Key catalysts ahead include any final supply-chain updates or announcements at Apple's expected fall event that could further lock in availability before the end of next year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$161,393Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confirmations from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and supply-chain reports have solidified trader sentiment around an 84.5% implied probability for a yes outcome, as Apple remains on track for a September 2026 launch of its first foldable iPhone alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Minor engineering and production snags pushed mass production from June to early August, yet credible sources indicate Apple can still meet a fall 2026 release window without slipping into 2027. These developments outweigh earlier concerns about hinge durability and display issues, reflecting the company's history of compressing timelines for premium hardware launches. Key catalysts ahead include any final supply-chain updates or announcements at Apple's expected fall event that could further lock in availability before the end of next year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$161,393Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent confirmations from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and supply-chain reports have solidified trader sentiment around an 84.5% implied probability for a yes outcome, as Apple remains on track for a September 2026 launch of its first foldable iPhone alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Minor engineering and production snags pushed mass production from June to early August, yet credible sources indicate Apple can still meet a fall 2026 release window without slipping into 2027. These developments outweigh earlier concerns about hinge durability and display issues, reflecting the company's history of compressing timelines for premium hardware launches. Key catalysts ahead include any final supply-chain updates or announcements at Apple's expected fall event that could further lock in availability before the end of next year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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