Aoun has repeatedly conditioned any direct contact with Netanyahu on first reaching an agreement, such as a non-aggression pact or expanded ceasefire framework covering borders, prisoner exchanges, and southern Lebanon withdrawals. Recent delegation talks in Rome produced reported progress on those issues, while Aoun's July White House visit with Trump focused on U.S. pressure for Israeli pullbacks and Lebanese army support. Traders assign low probability to a leader-level call by year-end because indirect channels and U.S. mediation remain the primary vehicles, with no scheduled bilateral meeting and Aoun's public stance against premature engagement. Ongoing Israeli operations and Hezbollah-related tensions further complicate timelines for direct diplomacy.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$52,444 Vol.
31 décembre
20%
$52,444 Vol.
31 décembre
20%
A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Aoun has repeatedly conditioned any direct contact with Netanyahu on first reaching an agreement, such as a non-aggression pact or expanded ceasefire framework covering borders, prisoner exchanges, and southern Lebanon withdrawals. Recent delegation talks in Rome produced reported progress on those issues, while Aoun's July White House visit with Trump focused on U.S. pressure for Israeli pullbacks and Lebanese army support. Traders assign low probability to a leader-level call by year-end because indirect channels and U.S. mediation remain the primary vehicles, with no scheduled bilateral meeting and Aoun's public stance against premature engagement. Ongoing Israeli operations and Hezbollah-related tensions further complicate timelines for direct diplomacy.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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